Champions League · resolved market
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-08-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69717164dc80e2708bbb6216181d197da23a3677916562807d5e45eb0a095489
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked No | 77c | 16,666$12,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,798.13 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 6,689$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.92 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 5,084$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.89 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 4,480$3,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.9 | 749 | 35.4%265 W · 484 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 76c | 3,185$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.44 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 21c | 2,940$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.6 | 498 | 40.4%201 W · 297 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 24c | 2,872$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.59 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 17c | 1,816$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.59 | 401 | 43.4%174 W · 227 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 1,176$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.21 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 1,146$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.54 | 328 | 47.9%157 W · 171 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 369 | 42.5%157 W · 212 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 23c | 970.3$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.17 | 344 | 45.1%155 W · 189 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 22c | 677.55$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.06 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3652…c3e0backed Yes | 8c | 632.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…440bbacked Yes | 26c | 632.15$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 18c | 391.46$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 315 | 56.5%178 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 18c | 391.42$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20aa…b3dcbacked Yes | 22c | 340.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 26c | 295.42$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 78c | 286.86$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 269 | 31.6%85 W · 184 L | -22.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 21c | 230$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba3…b461backed Yes | 22c | 211.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 24c | 193$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…fc66backed No | 78c | 178.5$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 74c | 168.77$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 23c | 141.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 65cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d02…087bbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 15c | 122.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 28c | 116.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 26c | 102.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Yes | 16c | 92.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 16c | 92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 24c | 87.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…1f7bbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 20c | 70.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 26c | 70.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed No | 78c | 68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc965…f9edbacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 22c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…a7c3backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed No | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 21c | 51.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 28c | 45.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6615…3e28backed Yes | 29c | 36.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked No | 74c | 35.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 78c | 32.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 522 | 46.7%244 W · 278 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 75c | 31.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 277 | 50.2%139 W · 138 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 72c | 29.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236e…338abacked No | 72c | 27.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…08a1backed No | 76c | 26.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…d8a6backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 74c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 398 | 49.2%196 W · 202 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 13.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20eb…87efbacked No | 78c | 13.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 78c | 12.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.85 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-08-11?this page
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-11?Yes won
- Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.