TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a67…df6f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
337
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT16927.8%47 W · 122 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 169 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$84.12
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$566.33
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12,649Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,649.17
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22,619Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+670.2%+$151,604.14
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$14,272.49
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,581Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,010.57
Will Dani Olmo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+196.7%+$47.34
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.98
World Cup Goals H2H: Dembele vs. Olisebacked Olise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,065.54
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.21
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$5,432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,432.43
Will Aurélien Tchouaméni score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.64
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.69
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$562
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,230
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group L?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.06
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$6,850Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+265%+$18,149.98
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$9,896Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$4,598.89
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,617Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+121.6%+$4,398.23
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$242.15
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,107.1
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$53,504.62
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35,317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35,317.11
Will Noah Okafor score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.27
Showing 25 of 169 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT4816.7%8 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-53.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,024Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+36%+$727.96
GRVT FDV above $450M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.26
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.41
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$678.14
MegaETH FDV above $1.8B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.88
MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
MegaETH FDV above $1.6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$112.33
MegaETH FDV above $1.4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.24
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,820Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+502.8%+$14,179.99
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.63
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+57%+$101.34
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20,202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,202.26
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$913Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$912.92
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$249.62
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$3,209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$3,208.54
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,921Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,920.99
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$352.87
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$299.51
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$620
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+47.1%+$64
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,125.34
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$799Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$799.26
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$634.82
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,628Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,628
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20,087Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,087.38
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,892Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+119.7%+$5,854
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,429Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$781.1
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,552.11
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10,839Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$3,509.34
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$6,400
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,924Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+241.7%+$4,650.14
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,385Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+191.1%+$4,559.47
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,230
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,700
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10,393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,393.34
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16,381Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+68%+$11,136.49
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$6,356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,355.59
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$3,319Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,318.73
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,852Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$3,655.29
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,481Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+118.9%+$1,760.41
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$7,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+126.3%+$9,722.62
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11,425Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$6,074.92
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$5,142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,141.58
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,662Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,723.39
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+226.5%+$5,549.96
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,262Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,218.14
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$624.62
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,208Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,737.65
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,769Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,768.56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,163Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$1,943.39
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,121.52
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$940.37
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$235
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$875Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$874.99
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$910Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$910
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47,094Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$47,093.88
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$281.37
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$84,417Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$84,416.99
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26,935Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+90.5%+$24,378.69
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14,477Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.1%+$5,513.76
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25,143Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+158.3%+$39,803.62
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,489Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$3,489.36
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$6,495Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$6,494.6
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$690.04
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$598.28
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$162.19
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100.02
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,556Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,556.45
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$515.18
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$144.72
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$129.9
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2520%5 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-08-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12,867Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$3,798.13
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.88
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$41.41
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.3
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+498.1%+$5,679.77
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+287.6%+$185.85
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.47
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$389.99
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.11
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,210.18
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.44
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.17
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$516.43
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.29
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$99.87
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$49.97
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$472.42
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$113.19
Will PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 25 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.92
Will Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$7,372Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,371.64
FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: Team to Advancebacked FC Midtjylland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,563Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,562.84
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$85
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.01
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,038
Will SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$753Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$753.32
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid-19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,657Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,657.04
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$120
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$379
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$389.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+30.4%+$42
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$649.91
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$449.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Bluesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$36.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$136.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$345
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$755Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$755
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.