NBA · resolved market
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77928f0ce3a8ed6b5c3cd17a75a8542538c04149e7bc626b8ccda6141bbae987
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $340,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $300,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5011…7eb3backed Yes | 35c | 32,877$11,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed No | 65c | 30,796$20,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,667.2 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 12c | 20,871$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.82 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 4c | 20,798$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.84 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Yes | 17c | 15,462$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.51 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 5c | 11,667$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.7 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 22c | 9,670$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.26 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 76c | 9,183$6,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.91 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 32c | 7,944$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.41 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…e73bbacked Yes | 4c | 6,656$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.2 | 231 | 39.8%92 W · 139 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 76c | 6,314$4,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.01 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…c5dcbacked Yes | 19c | 6,274$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 6,016$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.4 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 15c | 5,888$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.53 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 5,654$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.64 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 13c | 5,167$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.7 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 76c | 4,082$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.6 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 24c | 4,059$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.39 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…e840backed Yes | 1c | 4,050$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 64c | 4,007$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.89 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…b7b3backed Yes | 36c | 3,793$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.37 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 79c | 3,626$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.82 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…bbb0backed Yes | 5c | 3,475$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.32 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 3,473$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.71 | 84 | 4.8%4 W · 80 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +489.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 8c | 3,455$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.45 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7005…c4d5backed Yes | 28c | 3,315$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf406…c9bfbacked Yes | 4c | 3,028$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.65 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8740…6facbacked Yes | 32c | 2,799$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.21 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd41c…5834backed Yes | 8c | 2,563$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.45 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…57acbacked Yes | 4c | 2,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked No | 65c | 2,210$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.1 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8a…2562backed Yes | 19c | 2,024$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.86 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,889$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…36bbbacked Yes | 36c | 1,454$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,444$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 13c | 1,395$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.94 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 16c | 1,318$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.47 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Yes | 39c | 1,286$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,269$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.53 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -11.5wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed Yes | 7c | 1,262$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.08 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…b27abacked Yes | 3c | 1,262$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…0afbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,182$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…b1b3backed Yes | 5c | 1,068$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 5c | 1,060$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…8525backed Yes | 5c | 1,043$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Yes | 4c | 1,001$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 471 | 34.2%161 W · 310 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…6557backed Yes | 34c | 999.99$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Yes | 12c | 985.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 243 | 23.9%58 W · 185 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed Yes | 2c | 951$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…c7f1backed Yes | 4c | 911.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 69c | 901.8$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.65 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8137…ccadbacked Yes | 35c | 856.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…1a03backed Yes | 6c | 809.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 22c | 794.49$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.05 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683d…43b4backed Yes | 14c | 786.77$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…93aabacked Yes | 4c | 786.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 25c | 769.97$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.38 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 15c | 750$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.46 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…b227backed Yes | 37c | 681.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d3…efa8backed Yes | 7c | 660.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Yes | 17c | 657.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.81 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd379…aa64backed Yes | 5c | 642.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…1911backed Yes | 16c | 623.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…c353backed No | 76c | 600$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 10c | 585.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Yes | 17c | 580$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c8…9617backed Yes | 32c | 520$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.34 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea7…bcd9backed Yes | 14c | 516$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f9…2b7bbacked Yes | 26c | 500.8$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.28 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 8c | 500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a5…db24backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked No | 65c | 500$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.5 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…7defbacked Yes | 4c | 499.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +105%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Yes | 27c | 499.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.18 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 35c | 479.42$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.48 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 28c | 474.7$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 4c | 455$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…faa6backed Yes | 16c | 452.79$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb9…e983backed Yes | 34c | 441.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…63d5backed Yes | 5c | 434.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b8…10c8backed Yes | 35c | 424.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 61c | 410$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…b2ebbacked Yes | 5c | 399.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…4ba7backed Yes | 24c | 390$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +135.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes | 3c | 388.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 4cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 14c | 379.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd141…205cbacked Yes | 7c | 378.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 71c | 361$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.12 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4197…24bfbacked Yes | 6c | 348.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…3f0abacked Yes | 6c | 348.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 26cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c68…7fabbacked Yes | 15c | 341.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…e3c2backed Yes | 36c | 337.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d5…a491backed Yes | 21c | 328.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…9ea3backed No | 69c | 314.98$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.34 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes | 14c | 313.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4507…c780backed Yes | 37c | 312.22$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfa…9c71backed Yes | 15c | 311.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…60b9backed Yes | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51a2…051bbacked Yes | 5c | 298.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be7…6f9dbacked Yes | 34c | 297.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?this page
- Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will De'Aaron Fox win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Devin Vassell win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Dylan Harper win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yes won
- Will James Harden win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Jason Tatum win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Josh Hart win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Julian Champagnie win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Julius Randle win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Luka Doncic win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Mikal Bridges win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Nikola Jokic win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Stephon Castle win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.