TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7f7…e73b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
519
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT23139.8%92 W · 139 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 231 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$466.4
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,449.91
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,373Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+497%+$16,762.72
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$75.17
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.2
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.37
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+297.6%+$683
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+474.9%+$1,486.66
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.49
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.83
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+317.5%+$233.01
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+522.1%+$619.24
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$24.94
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$193.4
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+248.8%+$107
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$8.09
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+151.4%+$188.29
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+209.6%+$277.57
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.1
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.21
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$11.19
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Showing 25 of 231 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST8441.7%35 W · 49 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$75.3
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$341.43
Will La Santa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+32.4%+$62.5
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$120.4
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$614Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+48.3%+$296.21
Will MIA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+30%+$49.63
Will Doechii perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31.1%+$25.29
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$43.3
Will Dua Lipa perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+26.7%+$114.14
Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$176.77
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$612.81
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$53.6
Will Jonathan Taylor win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.51
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+76.2%+$356.76
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25.72
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+84.3%+$439.64
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$433
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$271.31
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$17.91
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$365.5
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$331.04
Will LAR/CHI/BUF/SF/NE/HOU win their 2026 NFL Wild Card round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+72.7%+$119.54
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6543.1%28 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$162.2
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+204%+$671
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.21
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$771Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$309.18
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.9
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$355
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$740.33
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$181.75
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$605
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$644
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.2
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.66
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.2
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT3138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$31.68
Roland Garros WTA: Emma Navarro vs Janice Tjenbacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptistebacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.98
Madrid Open, Qualification: Quentin Halys vs Jaime Fariabacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.59
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Alexandra Eala vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Janice Tjen vs Maya Jointbacked Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+70.7%+$69.81
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$121.5
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Hon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+867.7%+$269
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$367.38
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$89.6
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$130
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$131.25
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$44.92
Hobart International: Taylah Preston vs Iva Jovicbacked Preston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$37.85
Hobart International: Emma Raducanu vs Taylah Prestonbacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$299.49
Hobart International: Peyton Stearns vs Olga Danilovicbacked Danilovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+37.1%+$6.16
Hobart International: Xinyu Wang vs Magda Linettebacked Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$63
Hobart International: Emma Raducanu vs Camila Osoriobacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+41.8%+$59
Adelaide International: Victoria Mboko vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+80.3%+$223.54
ASB Classic: Emilio Nava vs Sebastian Baezbacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+99.8%+$124.9
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$207
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$49.49
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+81.2%+$15.43
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.35
Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.18
Will "Project Hail Mary" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.89
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$81
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$136.02
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.24
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23.95
Will Ethan Hawke be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+32.3%+$200.2
Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$37.25
Will Emma Stone (Bugonia) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Will Stellan Skarsgard (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+112.8%+$21.2
Will Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+225.2%+$69.25
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$75.54
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$89
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$33.59
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$39
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$29.87
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.38
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$55.14
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$41.75
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$102.2
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+38%+$82.57
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+53.7%+$15.63
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+165.2%+$43.6
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+108.4%+$297.38
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+55.1%+$152.34
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.5
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.35
Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30.28
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+156.4%+$18.3
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+29.1%+$126.23
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$32.4
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Will Andrew Cuomo say "Socialism" or "Socialist" during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will Trump’s approval rating be 45.0–45.4% on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-53.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$30.4
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$48.6
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40.31
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18.2
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $400b on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $340b and $350b on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.74
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.5
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+43.5%+$30.3
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+37.5%+$60
Will Zohran Mamdani win 3 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$47.55
Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$128
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+106.9%+$61.77
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100.15
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$161
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+55.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-39.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+141.1%+$21.17
Yankees vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.13
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+244.8%+$35.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.31
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.