Us Politics · resolved market

Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b1c39b84a868696d066de0555e4fea2345a9750d029aee226c51911d28e1654

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 23, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $90,927
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $90,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,927 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x395d…21ebbacked No	0c	76,000$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6b…68f5backed No	6c	1,412$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.38	87	37.9%33 W · 54 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes	11c	1,100$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$974.07	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+9.5wins	+0.24per pick	12cpaid	+185%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0xff05…fad7backed No	1c	1,027$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.06	29	3.4%1 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-86.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb436…bb3cbacked Yes	42c	379.51$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.51	41	82.9%34 W · 7 L	+10.5wins	+0.26per pick	57cpaid	+42%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0xe598…a0a8backed Yes	79c	311.38$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.44	36	63.9%23 W · 13 L	+3.9wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes	11c	253.72$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.29	336	27.4%92 W · 244 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…8370backed No	45c	250$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.3	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf673…be20backed Yes	9c	222.69$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.69	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+7.3wins	+0.33per pick	17cpaid	+303.8%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1dcb…98ccbacked No	70c	214.05$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.70per pick	70cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Yes	8c	151.5$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.03	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+7.9wins	+0.32per pick	24cpaid	+320%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	21c	137.82$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.23	149	35.6%53 W · 96 L	+6.3wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	8c	134.14$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.14	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x731b…2baebacked Yes	20c	124.09$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.09	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+61.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	17c	110.5$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.09	1,136	6.3%72 W · 1,064 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes	25c	100$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2420…ce7fbacked No	73c	76.13$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.94	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-4.7wins	-0.31per pick	64cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf3fc…1e14backed No	68c	68.69$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.64	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked No	76c	60$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.6	65	40%26 W · 39 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No	61c	46.66$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	336	18.5%62 W · 274 L	-46.5wins	-0.14per pick	32cpaid	-60%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe7f7…e73bbacked No	69c	43.81$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.28	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b06…9076backed No	70c	40$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.84	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-6.2wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9437…6c5dbacked No	77c	33$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.52	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.16per pick	53cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	55c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.56	963	19.8%191 W · 772 L	-32.4wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed No	76c	28.5$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	85	36.5%31 W · 54 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No	70c	21.77$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.24	101	35.6%36 W · 65 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1757…bd49backed No	76c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb1…bf68backed No	67c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.32	106	30.2%32 W · 74 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+57.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event