Us Politics · resolved market

Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x717cc9dd639d0c353616faefb44e9b785aa43c1b2041ef025b054417f9255083

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 22, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $15,287
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $14,052

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,287 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes	11c	3,486$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,098.06	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+7.8wins	+0.22per pick	15cpaid	+177.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Yes	14c	1,462$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,253.18	147	42.9%63 W · 84 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	15c	567$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.95	130	29.2%38 W · 92 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc1…13aabacked Yes	11c	467.66$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.43	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+4.0wins	+0.30per pick	23cpaid	+211.8%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x28d5…8433backed Yes	17c	233.33$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.33	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+3.0wins	+0.17per pick	28cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf861…681fbacked Yes	9c	222$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.02	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.15per pick	36cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	10c	220.93$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.26	193	28.5%55 W · 138 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x410c…b808backed Yes	13c	194.32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.32	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+3.1wins	+0.28per pick	26cpaid	+366.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c03…12b2backed Yes	15c	105$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.25	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Yes	17c	100$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83	107	49.5%53 W · 54 L	+10.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbacd…ab35backed Yes	18c	94.71$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.86	184	25%46 W · 138 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes	12c	87.92$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.37	125	33.6%42 W · 83 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x461d…c081backed Yes	17c	87.24$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+3.5wins	+0.43per pick	32cpaid	+179.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x912a…0f92backed Yes	19c	65.06$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.64	185	16.2%30 W · 155 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd12b…0af1backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.5	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.29per pick	21cpaid	+197.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes	59c	42.46$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.47	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	+8.7wins	+0.12per pick	32cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed No	70c	25.81$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.99	336	27.4%92 W · 244 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event