Us Politics · resolved market
Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e99377c7fc3381de504432e855f67251ec32d0d3307e34624634e192cecba10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed Yes | 75c | 1,210$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.6 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…6c7cbacked Yes | 53c | 557.89$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.59 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…5fb4backed Yes | 79c | 554.98$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed No | 21c | 480.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…7d8dbacked No | 36c | 400$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 63c | 390.2$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.61 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a75…5271backed Yes | 61c | 386.31$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…b395backed No | 75c | 333.82$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.73 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…c462backed No | 25c | 304.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 67c | 282.43$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.93 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 63c | 262.43$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.07 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 46c | 254.84$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1551…2b86backed Yes | 15c | 234.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…6436backed No | 68c | 209.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 24c | 208.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.39 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +146.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…8d1cbacked Yes | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes | 16c | 197.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 60c | 197.49$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.93 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…8ba8backed Yes | 46c | 186.22$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528a…f94abacked Yes | 73c | 184.44$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…f77cbacked Yes | 72c | 183.32$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes | 27c | 181.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.48 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 20c | 181.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.61 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae7…605fbacked Yes | 40c | 177.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes | 28c | 166.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.89 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.24per pick | 12cpaid | +185%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 28c | 164.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.39 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 23c | 155.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.62 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefc1…dfcdbacked No | 76c | 152.58$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed No | 22c | 149$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Yes | 12c | 142.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.19 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +7.9wins | +0.32per pick | 24cpaid | +320%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 18c | 140.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked No | 56c | 122.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…9076backed No | 39c | 121.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…be20backed Yes | 17c | 117.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.84 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +7.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +303.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 12c | 105.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…bf8abacked Yes | 45c | 103.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…3f82backed Yes | 39c | 93.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…3d48backed No | 70c | 89.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +468.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d3…ff72backed No | 60c | 83.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed No | 73c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e5…1c91backed Yes | 74c | 78.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…5754backed No | 59c | 77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…5a9ebacked Yes | 41c | 77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 41c | 75.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e51…7ee7backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 58c | 74.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…68a9backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 18cpaid | +201%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x548e…3834backed Yes | 59c | 72.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8032…7c6cbacked No | 43c | 68.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes | 25c | 65.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a1…b40ebacked No | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 51c | 56.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 240 | 35.4%85 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 24c | 56.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2457…b193backed No | 50c | 56.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 18c | 56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…b428backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…12edbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed No | 53c | 49.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fc…1e14backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 58c | 47.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…856ebacked No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 41c | 43.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +91%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc571…d6f1backed No | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked No | 27c | 38.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 65c | 38.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…b2cdbacked Yes | 59c | 37.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 46c | 35.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 74c | 35.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked No | 49c | 34.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951a…6866backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…9138backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 36c | 33.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 54c | 31.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…980fbacked Yes | 78c | 25.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…250dbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 77c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 47c | 22.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 71c | 20.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…0550backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…76c9backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae50…0119backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1757…bd49backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…bf2dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 18cpaid | +1,617.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…aadbbacked Yes | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files?this page
- Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Koch be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Jimmy Kimmel be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Rachel Maddow be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.