Us Politics · resolved market
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cc7468494c3d5b5f6de55043b4ee2f1a256b7bbd62416832125bbc95713381e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9acd…7841backed Yes | 7c | 3,318$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.44 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b7…b59cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,299$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 1c | 1,078$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…ca77backed Yes | 36c | 849.55$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 842.12$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.08 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 7c | 750$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed No | 64c | 749.98$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.39 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3986…01fdbacked Yes | 35c | 740.85$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…c702backed Yes | 7c | 713$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 7c | 659.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Yes | 34c | 554.81$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…359fbacked Yes | 11c | 553.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 7cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1e…f988backed Yes | 9c | 537.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.45per pick | 12cpaid | +324.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 12c | 505.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f51…bb18backed Yes | 9c | 493.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 8c | 456.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes | 14c | 430.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b9…7130backed Yes | 15c | 422.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c8…90f5backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.54per pick | 21cpaid | +321.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x80ee…f0d1backed Yes | 35c | 369.91$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 9c | 359.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca99…d9e7backed No | 78c | 338.51$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…b6cabacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 32c | 316.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…2467backed No | 73c | 300$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.62 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 8c | 263.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb4…e56fbacked Yes | 31c | 260.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fc…1e14backed Yes | 28c | 253.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d8…dfebbacked Yes | 8c | 242.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Yes | 42c | 236.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…874fbacked Yes | 9c | 228.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 24c | 227.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 75c | 218.65$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22ff…5254backed No | 79c | 217.77$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf97a…cfe6backed Yes | 12c | 211.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c03…12b2backed Yes | 10c | 205$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 14c | 202.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…be20backed Yes | 10c | 201.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +7.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +303.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7c84…7e97backed No | 73c | 200.23$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…0693backed Yes | 33c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x303f…5518backed No | 80c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…2d89backed Yes | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 15c | 187.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 69c | 183.08$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…ae77backed Yes | 12c | 171.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x837d…cc3ebacked Yes | 15c | 170.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x230f…fa85backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…8b95backed No | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5673…98fdbacked Yes | 35c | 142.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 22c | 142.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed No | 66c | 140$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 28c | 138.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…d10abacked Yes | 9c | 134.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed Yes | 10c | 127.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326a…e8e3backed Yes | 12c | 125.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…2b44backed Yes | 20c | 124.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…8ba8backed Yes | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…5309backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…d9febacked Yes | 17c | 117.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab00…3c39backed Yes | 35c | 113.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…3ce5backed Yes | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…2574backed No | 76c | 106.14$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -7.2wins | -0.38per pick | 59cpaid | -71%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f8…1afcbacked Yes | 19c | 105.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…3f82backed Yes | 17c | 103.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…25c1backed Yes | 10c | 100.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +209.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe89b…9640backed No | 76c | 97.72$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…95b1backed Yes | 23c | 94.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2af…4e5bbacked No | 66c | 92.95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…d0e3backed No | 80c | 86.39$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 27c | 81.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…ed38backed No | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb436…bb3cbacked No | 65c | 79.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 41 | 82.9%34 W · 7 L | +10.5wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +42%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 24c | 78.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x94bf…3f5fbacked Yes | 27c | 77.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…ac7bbacked Yes | 26c | 74.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b4…6f14backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -36%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed No | 54c | 69.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 16c | 64.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…6c5dbacked Yes | 55c | 63.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed Yes | 34c | 59.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…fca2backed No | 72c | 59.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Yes | 36c | 56.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…4253backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x408e…ae0dbacked Yes | 27c | 49.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 56c | 49.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…77d1backed No | 80c | 47.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe520…e4e3backed Yes | 44c | 45.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2edf…6957backed Yes | 45c | 44.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 65c | 42.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 53c | 37.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 70c | 37.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +91%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72e…b33dbacked Yes | 48c | 37.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4a…be1ebacked Yes | 31c | 33.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…1a1bbacked Yes | 35c | 33.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?this page
- Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Koch be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Jimmy Kimmel be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Rachel Maddow be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.