Us Politics · resolved market

Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1759a4b2b972fc59dd6a4b148746d9f6f3593159daa3d6572f8f6eb0c8d22aef

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $16,859
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $15,930

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,859 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x90f7…2501backed No	79c	1,397$1,109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.27	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-5.8wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-23%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3578…d9febacked Yes	17c	474.61$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05ab…b10abacked Yes	4c	400$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed No	78c	360.95$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.08	192	36.5%70 W · 122 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35fa…c236backed Yes	22c	340.67$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.03	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.45per pick	21cpaid	+225.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes	13c	335.7$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.27	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+9.5wins	+0.24per pick	12cpaid	+185%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x7e31…454dbacked No	75c	324.13$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.57	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Yes	5c	273.39$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.67	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+9.1wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+346.5%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x73ed…2574backed No	77c	260.21$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.21	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-7.2wins	-0.38per pick	59cpaid	-71%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes	12c	226.15$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.63	336	27.4%92 W · 244 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fb…1206backed Yes	29c	219.18$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes	6c	212.77$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.77	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+4.0wins	+0.19per pick	38cpaid	+72.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd992…96c0backed Yes	10c	190$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.47	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	38cpaid	-80.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0262…a9d2backed No	79c	186.77$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.71	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes	13c	176.89$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.28	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+3.4wins	+0.15per pick	7cpaid	+659%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed Yes	19c	164.92$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.79	50	50%25 W · 25 L	+5.6wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+20%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes	23c	161.79$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.21	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	-15%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e52…0693backed Yes	38c	160$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.8	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	21c	151.36$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.17	336	18.5%62 W · 274 L	-46.5wins	-0.14per pick	32cpaid	-60%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf97a…cfe6backed Yes	13c	150.84$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc46…a7ecbacked Yes	20c	143.27$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3377…9b80backed Yes	18c	139.44$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	12c	119.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.26	1,136	6.3%72 W · 1,064 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2457…b193backed Yes	21c	108.51$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-2.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5673…98fdbacked Yes	23c	106.58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8a…958ebacked Yes	15c	101.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9acd…7841backed Yes	12c	100.88$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc877…05b4backed Yes	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	145	28.3%41 W · 104 L	+11.0wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes	18c	98.15$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.67	320	29.1%93 W · 227 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	16c	93$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.88	49	0%0 W · 49 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes	19c	91.62$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.26	58	34.5%20 W · 38 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed Yes	24c	90$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.7	126	31.7%40 W · 86 L	-8.7wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked No	72c	88.77$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.46	65	40%26 W · 39 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e3…b2dfbacked Yes	29c	86.97$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb28…a1e6backed Yes	35c	86.3$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+43.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b95…bf2fbacked Yes	24c	85.77$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	14c	82.92$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.38	963	19.8%191 W · 772 L	-32.4wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe016…dcc3backed No	76c	81.19$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.49	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bf…3f5fbacked Yes	17c	80.7$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed No	66c	76.94$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.81	365	27.1%99 W · 266 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b9…c6e4backed Yes	27c	74.84$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df8…4961backed No	78c	71.37$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.77	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.21per pick	45cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18dd…6bf2backed Yes	19c	64.55$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4de…424cbacked Yes	32c	63.34$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked No	79c	60$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.9	235	43.8%103 W · 132 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ae…6d0abacked Yes	23c	48.88$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	75c	47.05$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.78	1,073	35.5%381 W · 692 L	-70.5wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked No	79c	40$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.36	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+91%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6427…56bbbacked Yes	71c	28.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.71per pick	71cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	58c	26.54$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.2	149	35.6%53 W · 96 L	+6.3wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed No	77c	26.23$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.11	240	35.4%85 W · 155 L	-12.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b1f…9ff2backed No	76c	23.54$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.54	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-73.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d3…ff72backed No	75c	22.5$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.62	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-2.8wins	-0.15per pick	25cpaid	-83.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event