Us Politics · resolved market

Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad623a08805c458603e0eb495ef384997b9494667e41fb12158dd394aa0ca1da

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $48,782
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $42,441

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,782 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3986…01fdbacked Yes	23c	3,202$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-3.1wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes	20c	1,354$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.77	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+9.5wins	+0.24per pick	12cpaid	+185%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0xc278…a116backed Yes	23c	1,219$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.3	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9acd…7841backed Yes	10c	1,183$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.55	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	12c	1,114$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.87	1,136	6.3%72 W · 1,064 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed No	68c	1,070$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.77	192	36.5%70 W · 122 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes	15c	901$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.9	333	13.2%44 W · 289 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6d8…dfebbacked Yes	22c	857.5$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.5	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Yes	2c	796.74$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.93	165	35.8%59 W · 106 L	+18.3wins	+0.11per pick	25cpaid	+86.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x03c8…0e01backed Yes	12c	619.15$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.25	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb438…cb51backed Yes	35c	600$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.09	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes	15c	571.72$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.83	336	27.4%92 W · 244 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	10c	543$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.67	110	10%11 W · 99 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-32%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	9c	518.08$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.93	49	0%0 W · 49 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5673…98fdbacked Yes	14c	517.19$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.53	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12c3…a470backed Yes	10c	499.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa03…2927backed Yes	19c	495.4$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.09	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+169%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc60d…8887backed Yes	19c	493.98$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.06	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a81…58b0backed Yes	8c	420.97$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.19	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-87.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x720f…0aabbacked Yes	10c	419.9$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	12cpaid	+174%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	10c	373.75$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.45	130	29.2%38 W · 92 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4014…a2edbacked Yes	18c	326.03$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+6.0wins	+0.43per pick	21cpaid	+1,100.9%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0218…52c0backed Yes	12c	315.28$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.18	35	14.3%5 W · 30 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a4…bf2dbacked Yes	23c	304.94$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+2.8wins	+0.39per pick	18cpaid	+1,617.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1fef…0cc5backed Yes	12c	298.34$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	24	25%6 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes	8c	267.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.26	556	18.5%103 W · 453 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a8fdbacked No	79c	254.01$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.34	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+2.5wins	+0.28per pick	61cpaid	+72.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x131d…1bb7backed Yes	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	+72.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…a5b9backed Yes	16c	247.01$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.06	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.50per pick	25cpaid	+195.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes	7c	236.63$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.51	320	29.1%93 W · 227 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	20c	219.02$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.25	963	19.8%191 W · 772 L	-32.4wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad7…03d8backed Yes	27c	205.48$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.97	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.31per pick	19cpaid	+220.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e0a…b4b9backed Yes	15c	205.28$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2843…b3d2backed Yes	20c	204.98$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.5	128	39.8%51 W · 77 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	29c	203.66$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.6	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+2.9wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88df…a457backed No	75c	200$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked Yes	16c	198.35$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	145	28.3%41 W · 104 L	+11.0wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes	12c	188.78$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.65	65	40%26 W · 39 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes	29c	170.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45cc…6400backed No	77c	167.69$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.4	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	-8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96c4…b5e5backed Yes	12c	165.08$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes	15c	163.66$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.34	73	6.8%5 W · 68 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes	9c	161.92$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.16	100	35%35 W · 65 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f3…1d41backed Yes	31c	160.07$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…8180backed Yes	34c	146.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06ec…f845backed No	77c	144.01$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.67	219	35.2%77 W · 142 L	+8.8wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Yes	10c	144$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+2.8wins	+0.14per pick	21cpaid	+53.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd992…96c0backed Yes	10c	143.72$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	38cpaid	-80.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a9…837fbacked Yes	15c	143.33$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.39per pick	21cpaid	+318.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5567…aeedbacked Yes	25c	141.88$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.01	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes	8c	140$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	146	6.2%9 W · 137 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96e9…4b32backed No	80c	137.21$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.56	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc534…b734backed No	79c	130.71$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.45	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1a…aceabacked Yes	23c	125$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.12	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf673…be20backed Yes	14c	107.66$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+7.3wins	+0.33per pick	17cpaid	+303.8%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xcf3d…d571backed Yes	15c	106.67$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-77.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c2b…8606backed Yes	19c	106.1$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	22c	105.86$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.06	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+91%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd251…5f85backed Yes	20c	101.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	21c	101.56$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.94	336	18.5%62 W · 274 L	-46.5wins	-0.14per pick	32cpaid	-60%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf245…1df4backed Yes	16c	101.14$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.64	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22eb…7d8dbacked Yes	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-55.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bc…02a7backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+3.0wins	+0.50per pick	17cpaid	+457.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x420e…e3c9backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	39	59%23 W · 16 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe872…fd21backed No	68c	100$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+4.0wins	+0.19per pick	38cpaid	+72.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf5df…2400backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4044…8de5backed Yes	32c	99.85$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.02	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+4.7wins	+0.26per pick	35cpaid	+62.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	13c	98.15$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.25	252	41.7%105 W · 147 L	-17.2wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9afd…3028backed Yes	21c	90.92$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.36	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa11b…f663backed No	77c	89.99$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.47	11	90.9%10 W · 1 L	+2.5wins	+0.23per pick	68cpaid	+36.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd12b…0af1backed Yes	23c	88.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.29per pick	21cpaid	+197.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf950…81d1backed Yes	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8975…ffe6backed No	76c	78.38$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.42	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	-7.5wins	-0.11per pick	68cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa6f…7e67backed Yes	25c	78$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.24	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9786…b15cbacked Yes	22c	77$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b06…9076backed No	74c	76$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.1	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-6.2wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9445…9ce6backed Yes	28c	74.79$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	+152.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77b6…f279backed Yes	19c	73$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7250…5468backed Yes	15c	72.24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.84	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cdc…ae37backed Yes	19c	69.95$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b29…a0aabacked Yes	20c	62.94$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.87	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4de…424cbacked Yes	32c	62.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xffb8…b577backed Yes	33c	60.73$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	34cpaid	-81.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb11e…84c5backed Yes	24c	60.33$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.35	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…f4b1backed No	35c	59.47$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.74	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed No	78c	58.2$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.04	398	9.5%38 W · 360 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca2…bde7backed Yes	68c	57.24$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.89	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.68per pick	68cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9099…8491backed No	79c	55.79$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.97	35	68.6%24 W · 11 L	+3.8wins	+0.11per pick	58cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c03…12b2backed Yes	29c	55$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.08	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7525…5d8ebacked Yes	31c	49.03$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	41cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked No	55c	45.27$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.59	147	42.9%63 W · 84 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed No	42c	40.29$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.3	365	27.1%99 W · 266 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed No	79c	40$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc571…d6f1backed No	77c	40$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.3	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	69cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fba…499dbacked No	54c	36.89$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.89	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed No	70c	33.59$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.08	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd8…372bbacked No	70c	28.37$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.37	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f45…b0e4backed No	73c	27.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2df5…51acbacked No	73c	27.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event