TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc60d…8887

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
138
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5223.1%12 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.36
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.27
Spread: Magic (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$589.18
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$547.64
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,100.92
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$500.78
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$791.71
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$635.64
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$529.3
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$245.28
Spread: Magic (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$97.91
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$195.83
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$56.36
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$165.54
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+156.4%+$381.25
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$27.55
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+170.3%+$331.57
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$245
76ers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+100%+$584.47
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$782Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+127.3%+$995.54
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$685.96
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$148.45
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$234.84
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$260.35
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+294.9%+$301.89
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST458.9%4 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$134.48
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$68.4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+389%+$241.04
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$44.09
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.74
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.87
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$95.42
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$93.33
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$138.46
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14.24
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+1,774.6%+$747.1
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,509.6
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$42.18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14.79
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$86.4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14.75
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$90.9
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$130.02
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$42.95
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$33.03
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15.9
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17.9
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$239.38
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$139.98
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-70.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$69.89
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+150%+$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$230.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 27-28°F on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$97.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.