Champions League · resolved market
Will Juventus advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb26f06dff4ed5987db3c79b085cc0fa6aaf845b2a6a4ef43388b7bf267bc18a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked No | 31c | 2,159$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.24 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 70c | 1,500$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 40c | 1,250$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.25 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 60c | 1,232$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 40c | 1,015$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 75c | 904.01$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked No | 25c | 746.01$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Yes | 69c | 720.66$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.07 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 32c | 671.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.67 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 43c | 662.25$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.73 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Yes | 50c | 429.9$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 33c | 344.11$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 68c | 308$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.44 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 8c | 298.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 67c | 256.87$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…e6b2backed No | 41c | 243.81$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377e…fb4bbacked No | 34c | 239.79$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 40c | 215$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…9ce9backed Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fae…1675backed Yes | 70c | 181.36$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…c131backed Yes | 59c | 170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 60c | 160.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +202.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 74c | 158$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60d…8887backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked Yes | 60c | 108.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…3c9abacked Yes | 70c | 102$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0f…27fdbacked No | 33c | 102$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…1240backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…6814backed Yes | 71c | 95.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 50c | 95.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 64c | 93.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cb…9bd6backed Yes | 69c | 83.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f37…5b70backed Yes | 69c | 83.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0d…62dfbacked Yes | 69c | 74.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…b5e1backed No | 33c | 64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…169fbacked Yes | 69c | 60.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c77…bde7backed Yes | 70c | 57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc08…6bd3backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 34c | 44.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf046…9ba6backed No | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7733…bcd0backed Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a3…13b4backed No | 33c | 39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 39c | 38.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0934…f376backed No | 39c | 37.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 31c | 36.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf698…c74bbacked Yes | 69c | 36.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…e935backed Yes | 67c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…8449backed Yes | 67c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354a…eca7backed Yes | 61c | 32.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee8…8445backed Yes | 67c | 31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f0…27f2backed Yes | 65c | 29.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c3…16adbacked Yes | 74c | 26.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 44c | 26.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…f39bbacked Yes | 70c | 25.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…ce8bbacked Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8527…09f9backed Yes | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e92…395abacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…bfb8backed Yes | 50c | 23.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x665c…1583backed Yes | 63c | 23.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed Yes | 62c | 22.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 52c | 22.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…2c85backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 60c | 20.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…e8b4backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c26…fd6dbacked Yes | 67c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juventus advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?this page
- Will AC Milan advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will AS Monaco advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Arsenal advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Aston Villa advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Atalanta advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Atletico Madrid advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Bayern Munich advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Benfica advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Celtic advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Club Brugge advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Dinamo Zagreb advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Feyenoord advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Inter Milan advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Manchester City advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will PSV Eindhoven advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Sporting CP advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Stade Brestois advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.