TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,900
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,710

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,900 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4aef…9337backed No2c3,677$79 inLost-$78.5724742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No8c2,350$179 inLost-$179.37435.1%26 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a3f…e333backed No2c883.99$19 inLost-$19.25812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-67.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x734f…b3b7backed No2c841.38$15 inLost-$15.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed No11c500.81$55 inLost-$54.693033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x484d…dd20backed Yes58c322.72$187 inWon+$135.54520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-65.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No7c211.48$14 inLost-$14.484062.5%25 W · 15 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed No43c205.26$88 inLost-$88.267946.8%37 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa89f…6a27backed Yes57c194.74$111 inWon+$83.742339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No43c135.59$58 inLost-$58.329138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No44c113.64$50 inLost-$5018650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No42c85.59$36 inLost-$36.093641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xab6a…e1babacked Yes61c82.62$50 inWon+$32.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed Yes67c75$50 inWon+$252045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No39c62.62$24 inLost-$24.4217048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked No33c51.94$17 inLost-$17.141729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93b4…cbfdbacked Yes62c50$31 inWon+$191637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes62c41$25 inWon+$15.583565.7%23 W · 12 L+6.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+33.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa4e7…e9fdbacked Yes58c40$23 inWon+$16.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+53%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes67c40$27 inWon+$13.23647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes62c37$23 inWon+$14.061844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5c…3912backed Yes75c31.9$24 inWon+$7.871764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7188…f812backed Yes57c30$17 inWon+$12.81546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No41c25.23$10 inLost-$10.434337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8f0…0446backed No40c25$10 inLost-$101546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.