TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa89f…6a27

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.58
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$9.67
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)backed Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Benfica beat Bayern Munich?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.08
Will Juventus beat Wydad AC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Fluminense beat Ulsan Hyundai?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+72.3%+$12.84
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Mamelodi Sundowns?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$40.73
Will River Plate beat Urawa Red Diamonds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$21.11
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$232.05
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Champions League Quarterfinals: Bayern vs. Inter Milanbacked Bayern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+121.7%+$42.6
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bayern Munich vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid or Atlético de Madrid advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Atlético Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.27
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+75.4%+$83.74
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$149.44
Utah vs. Hurricanesbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.13
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.92
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Wild vs. Canucksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+150%+$30
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+97.1%+$97.13
Ducks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Capitals vs. Flamesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+81.8%+$12.27
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+53.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$25.42
Jazz vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$176.55
All 4 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.71
Will Genoa win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UEFA Europa League: Lyon vs. Man United (To Advance)backed Lyon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.33
Will Tottenham beat IF Elfsborg?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.36
Will Barcelona beat Valladolid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+33.2%+$43.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+100%+$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$65.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $112,000 October 27-November 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+57.5%+$73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$74.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iceland win on 2025-10-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$7.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.