TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Borussia Dortmund beat Mamelodi Sundowns?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,850
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,676

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,850 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb1d9…4ce3backed No33c40,000$13,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,189.354936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ab…13abbacked Yes67c10,695$7,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,528.51729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes71c9,436$6,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,773.738935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Yes66c8,147$5,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,772.259159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa975…f137backed Yes72c7,194$5,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,014.045052%26 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes66c5,376$3,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,827.5423942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Yes56c4,460$2,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9824062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No32c4,348$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.3912359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No32c4,103$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.9713538.5%52 W · 83 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed No34c3,637$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.94746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No32c3,511$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.6610040%40 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.997548%36 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No3c2,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7520948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes67c2,351$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.3130657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Yes67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6602055%11 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No32c1,775$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.5617852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed No33c1,755$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.997342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4167…2427backed No2c1,675$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.494738.3%18 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No32c1,576$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.8618758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xac53…6133backed Yes66c1,555$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.71747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4955764.9%37 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48021037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5412036.7%44 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fcb…0426backed Yes68c1,470$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.363666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.285350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed No37c1,414$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.372920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-64.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfa19…fb67backed Yes67c1,171$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.564647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bd…f540backed Yes68c1,059$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.972161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37fd…00e0backed No30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32019645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e38…f7d2backed No29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…12a9backed No30c999.97$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9970%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6332…6128backed Yes68c861.17$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.171030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes68c835.42$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.426053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes61c777$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.9824963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xfb49…43febacked Yes67c724$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.924161%25 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…f98cbacked Yes70c675$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f05…9cfbbacked Yes68c634.5$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked Yes67c590.91$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1955448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed No33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1653545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9d1…8c4dbacked Yes68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.54438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-24.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes67c499.99$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16538048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde74…e866backed No13c448.8$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes70c428$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.43372.7%24 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Yes68c422.56$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.225040%20 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12417658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No31c376$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.444955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes68c316.18$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.182958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996056.7%34 W · 26 L+8.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x442a…7c94backed No16c299.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475437%20 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8618650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes68c275$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7519453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Yes68c271.65$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.931478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes73c265.5$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6936851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes67c250$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.513139.7%52 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce00…5287backed Yes70c245$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49f…3408backed Yes68c226.47$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.471850%9 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes70c209.23$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7724455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d3…eb60backed Yes75c205.76$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.84683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick74cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes65c203.76$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9114955%82 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes66c201.47$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5111132.4%36 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6412862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6420667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83e2…ce08backed Yes68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644337.2%16 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid+90.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes70c188.29$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.498633.7%29 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff92…f22cbacked Yes68c185.29$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.294961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9d…a540backed No46c153.42$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.274647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eeb…82fabacked Yes68c147.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.171172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick72cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe62d…dae3backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2623…23f1backed Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No29c138.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1939842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Yes69c128.96$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.984367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa89f…6a27backed Yes68c127.28$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.732339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…0d3fbacked Yes68c126.57$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.321346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick64cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes69c120$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.211145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b6b…b084backed No33c114.58$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.512166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+32.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502347.8%11 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes71c95.04$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.154768.1%32 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No31c94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.638356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No31c94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.646956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d7…c74dbacked No32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes71c92.11$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.716858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a56…695bbacked No34c81.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.87425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes66c80.71$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.416331.7%20 W · 43 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xef73…bc42backed Yes68c79.53$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.45450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab98…a89ebacked Yes70c77.71$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.31966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1891…99ddbacked Yes61c66.55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf503…cbc2backed Yes76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.79366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e8…df6ebacked Yes69c63.77$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.771070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6657…a414backed Yes69c62.75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3095…8e0ebacked No32c62.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205829.3%17 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33b3…9f56backed Yes68c53$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.961833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1619344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c6…4162backed No32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac2…1966backed Yes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157042.9%30 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd874…0c05backed Yes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39b9…e58fbacked Yes67c49.25$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.251376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.