TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ac2…1966

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Mls, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 53 out of 100; worst Cricket at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT7042.9%30 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – Both Teams To Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
PSG vs. Real Madrid: 3+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.4
Will Fluminense vs. Chelsea end in a draw after regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Will Fluminense beat Chelsea in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Fluminense vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw after regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Real Madrid beat Borussia Dortmund in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$104.24
Real Madrid vs. Dortmund: 3+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.24
Will PSG vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw after regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bayern Munich beat PSG in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
PSG vs. Bayern Munich: 4+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Palmeiras vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Will Fluminense vs. Al Hilal end in a draw after regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Fluminense vs. Al Hilal: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+116.2%+$156.92
Dortmund vs. Monterrey: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.6
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Juventus (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+48.6%+$51.06
Real Madrid vs. Juventus: 3+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.22
Manchester City vs. Al Hilal: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$25.71
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)backed Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Inter Milan vs. Fluminense: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$32.23
FIFA Club World Cup: Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich (To Advance)backed Bayern Munich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
FIFA Club World Cup: Will Messi score another goal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Inter Miami (To Advance) backed Inter Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-58.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+37.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina beat Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.