Mls · resolved market
Will Inter Miami beat New England Revolution?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ffc4f1a34c2250cd55754a0d4a9f107234b8a3db69997f1874eb7ae690f6a7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 47c | 13,718$6,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,441.5 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 44c | 10,996$4,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,165.23 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 71c | 8,677$6,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.47 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 49c | 3,460$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.31 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 29c | 3,211$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.21 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed No | 53c | 2,713$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 56c | 2,335$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.73 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 41c | 2,064$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.8 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 45c | 1,673$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed No | 53c | 1,626$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 45c | 1,543$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.46 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Yes | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed No | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 58c | 499.97$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.98 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 55c | 486$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.86 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 56c | 411.67$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.83 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 40c | 396$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 53c | 395$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 20c | 362$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 49c | 303.37$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.15 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 60c | 300.59$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 57c | 297.37$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.77 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 59c | 201$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.87 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 50c | 198.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.63 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 160 | 61.3%98 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed No | 43c | 185.28$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…4c92backed Yes | 42c | 171.67$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 52c | 168$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 54c | 153.3$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 56c | 127$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0c…9886backed Yes | 43c | 69.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec5…2bbdbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b9…57bebacked Yes | 41c | 46.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 40c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…bc1fbacked Yes | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…5066backed Yes | 46c | 22.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…7853backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Miami beat New England Revolution?this page
- Will New England Revolution beat Inter Miami?No won
- Will New England Revolution vs. Inter Miami end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.