Cricket · resolved market
Will England win the match?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fd4a14eabf2a2cd7c6cf6787cff35897bb010996533b9fae955fe453f47429a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 47c | 1,681$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.14 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 57c | 1,407$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.22 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Yes | 17c | 603.92$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 11c | 525.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 18c | 393.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…3045backed Yes | 5c | 363.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed Yes | 34c | 238.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…ad4fbacked Yes | 27c | 185.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 20c | 164.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…1819backed Yes | 13c | 117$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 44c | 90.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…58d9backed No | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103c…232bbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 58c | 34.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd977…9d35backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc47…c4b6backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England win the match?this page
- Will England vs. India end in a draw?No won
- Will India win the match?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.