Cricket · resolved market
Will England vs. India end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca1f9d9b706cb740a1403795bd169a33278f2ec8621435545e27ee292721c4b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbaf9…c201backed Yes | 33c | 43,467$14,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,433.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 75c | 39,003$29,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,891.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7098…b948backed Yes | 26c | 30,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,699.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 78c | 24,722$19,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,355.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 70c | 18,006$12,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,372.89 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 68c | 10,655$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,455.54 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 78c | 5,740$4,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.86 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed No | 74c | 4,828$3,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…4b19backed No | 70c | 4,113$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…58d9backed Yes | 23c | 2,163$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 55c | 1,901$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 78c | 1,820$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +246%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d8…e57abacked Yes | 20c | 1,290$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 1,274$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.12 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Yes | 23c | 971.93$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.76 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed No | 61c | 838.78$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.95 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 59c | 779.98$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf652…9351backed Yes | 48c | 614.75$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Yes | 27c | 535.45$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 69c | 519.15$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.81 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked No | 67c | 451.23$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Yes | 26c | 363.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 15c | 337.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 23c | 328.15$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.07 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…d8d0backed Yes | 39c | 262.73$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 53c | 222$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf848…f554backed Yes | 31c | 196.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…3045backed Yes | 22c | 155.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…af50backed Yes | 34c | 149.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…7035backed Yes | 54c | 132.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 114$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103c…232bbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe6…a853backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…61e2backed Yes | 37c | 74.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…fa11backed No | 72c | 70.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…fbc2backed Yes | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988e…0355backed Yes | 35c | 65.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcc…74d9backed Yes | 22c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc625…87f7backed No | 65c | 27.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked No | 75c | 26.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 67c | 19.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England vs. India end in a draw?this page
- Will England win the match?No won
- Will India win the match?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.