TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7732…fa11

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
198
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST4544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12.87
Giants vs. Blue Jaysbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.88
Red Sox vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+37%+$11.01
MLB All-Star Gamebacked American League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.7
Dodgers vs. Giantsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+47.5%+$8.05
Guardians vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+105.5%+$26.12
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.75
Mets vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+149%+$25.49
Braves vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.45
Marlins vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$8.58
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+86.1%+$9.89
Guardians vs. Astrosbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$22.88
Mariners vs. Yankeesbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.87
Mets vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.87
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.87
Blue Jays vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.87
Guardians vs. Astrosbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+41.9%+$10.77
Marlins vs. Redsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+129.9%+$33.44
Rays vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$7.56
Giants vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.61
Rangers vs. Padresbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.87
Royals vs. Diamondbacksbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$10.96
White Sox vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+39.6%+$10.18
Twins vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$6.06
Yankees vs. Metsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+30.7%+$7.9
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT3540%14 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$60.67
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$136.53
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.1
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+86.7%+$30
Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.59
Will Amanda Anisimova win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.76
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.93
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.65
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+31.5%+$12.15
Wimbledon: Swiatek vs. Samsonova (W) backed Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.87
Wimbledon: Norrie vs. Alcaraz backed Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.62
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Siegemundbacked Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.74
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.61
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov backed Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.87
Wimbledon: Swiatek vs. Tauson (W) backed Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.87
Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Sonego backed Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.74
Wimbledon: Andreeva vs. Navarro (W)backed Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.87
Wimbledon: De Minaur vs. Djokovic backed De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.41
Wimbledon: Alexandrova vs. Bencic (W) backed Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+107.4%+$27.64
Wimbledon: Cilic vs. Cobolli backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$7.61
Wimbledon: Noskova vs. Anisimova (W) backed Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.87
Wimbledon: Jarry vs. Norrie backed Jarry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.74
Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Fucsovicsbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4.29
Wimbledon: Nakashima vs. Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+119.3%+$18.7
Wimbledon: Cilic vs. Munar backed Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+42.7%+$10.99
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. JD Gamingbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
League of Legends: EDward Gaming vs. JD Gamingbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+63.1%+$62.7
League of Legends: KT Rolster vs. BNK FEARXbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.62
League of Legends: T1 vs. Dplus KIAbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.89
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+71.7%+$71.15
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. Dplus KIAbacked OKSavingsBank · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.82
League of Legends: Cloud9 vs. 100 Thievesbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+126.3%+$79.01
League of Legends: FunPlus Phoenix vs. Ninjas in Pyjamasbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$18.38
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. DRXbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$17.03
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. G2backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.48
League of Legends: Hanwha Life vs. AG.ALbacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+28.4%+$10.53
League of Legends: Cloud9 vs. FURIAbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+133%+$33.02
League of Legends: G2 vs. FURIAbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4.3
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. GAMbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+87.8%+$13.06
Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.45
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Anyone's Legendbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+73.8%+$57.05
MSI Playoffs: Bilibili Gaming vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+32.5%+$10.63
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. T1backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+51.7%+$61.46
MSI Playoffs: Bilibili Gaming vs. FlyQuestbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.46
MSI Playoffs: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+25.9%+$29.98
MSI Playoffs: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. Movistar KOIbacked CTBC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.76
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.33
All 22 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-48.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.62
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$19.49
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.82
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.85
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.82
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+53.4%+$27.58
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+32.4%+$8.36
30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$3.43
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.89
Will Elon register the America Party in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+74.9%+$28.92
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.87
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.89
Nothing Ever Happens: Julybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.87
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea vs. PSG end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+29%+$7.47
Will PSG beat Chelsea?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+112.6%+$25.23
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – To Lift Trophy backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.75
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+43.1%+$14.1
Will Fluminense vs. Chelsea end in a draw after regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4.29
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$12.88
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Dortmund (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4.06
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) backed Bayern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.61
PSG vs. Bayern Munich: 4+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$8.23
Will Chelsea beat Palmeiras in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$13.4
Palmeiras vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+120.2%+$61.9
Will Al Hilal beat Fluminense in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.87
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)backed Al Hilal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.87
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.88
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.78
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+80.2%+$10.32
Will "Eddington" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+43.2%+$16.69
Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $13m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+27.9%+$17.95
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+100.3%+$110.32
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.63
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $139-150m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$5.52
All 8 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+53%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-66.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+88.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+92.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sky vs Mysticsbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4.29
Valkyries vs Dreambacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$5.26
Sparks vs Feverbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+203.6%+$53.95
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+31.5%+$6.55
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+69.3%+$13.88
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$6.93
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$10.55
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Garciabacked Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+39.3%+$7.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dozen eggs be between $4-4.25 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4.29
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.5-3.75 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+25%+$3.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+211.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+211.2%+$31.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Will Usyk win by Decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England vs. India end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+38.1%+$19.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.