WNBA · resolved market
Sky vs Mystics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x631b38f5781cdec490a090a786581ebb9b42587220df329b9c3405ba182f8760
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mysticsof Sky, Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Sky | 30c | 6,509$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.89 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mystics | 71c | 2,437$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.08 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Mystics | 64c | 2,387$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.78 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Sky | 29c | 1,821$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.51 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mystics | 70c | 1,642$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.53 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mystics | 67c | 1,270$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.07 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mystics | 70c | 1,180$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.91 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Mystics | 68c | 1,165$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.67 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Sky | 27c | 1,136$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.79 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Mystics | 68c | 872.08$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.72 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mystics | 72c | 541.82$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.73 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1a…7241backed Mystics | 64c | 536.95$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Mystics | 67c | 520$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.89 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Sky | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Mystics | 43c | 463.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Sky | 29c | 411.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sky | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sky | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mystics | 63c | 321.59$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.38 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sky | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Sky | 41c | 219.4$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.17 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Sky | 29c | 202.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sky | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Sky | 31c | 150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Mystics | 74c | 144.76$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Sky | 29c | 144.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Mystics | 57c | 133.73$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Mystics | 73c | 129.64$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…7853backed Mystics | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Mystics | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Sky | 28c | 74.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Mystics | 69c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Sky | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…6faebacked Sky | 28c | 42.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Sky | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Mystics | 69c | 36.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Mystics | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…9b4abacked Mystics | 78c | 25.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Mystics | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…fa11backed Mystics | 75c | 17.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.