Fifa International · resolved market
Gold Cup Final: USA vs. Mexico: 3+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6cef098cac91bd8b663d9f14282c2b0a8bc57b46ed322af96dbc50452a172a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 36c | 4,100$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.49 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed No | 52c | 3,652$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 59c | 3,163$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.65 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 75c | 854.96$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 27c | 833.12$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.59 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Yes | 36c | 799.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 65c | 674.29$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.29 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 68c | 519$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.18 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 40c | 513$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 48c | 339.01$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 60c | 233.95$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.95 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 39c | 230.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 28c | 176.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 36c | 157.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 70c | 143$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e74…93bcbacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed No | 62c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 63c | 73.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 76c | 73.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 38c | 66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…6faebacked No | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf82…c406backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e50…948abacked Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Yes | 37c | 36.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Yes | 41c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9046…1a13backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…fa11backed No | 64c | 20.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…7084backed No | 63c | 18.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked No | 62c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…a309backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.