Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Cloud9 vs. FURIA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa75afcc36603bf05b70ed58094b9b4a93ce79d564c377b5519ee17bb51d7974f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof Cloud9, FURIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $236,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Cloud9 | 28c | 75,048$21,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,171.42 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed FURIA | 31c | 46,244$14,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,010.29 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Cloud9 | 69c | 40,000$27,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,600 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2899…73a8backed Cloud9 | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed FURIA | 53c | 40,000$21,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,965.43 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Cloud9 | 70c | 33,505$23,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,385.16 | 409 | 70.2%287 W · 122 L | +30.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked FURIA | 30c | 29,039$8,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,327.84 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed FURIA | 79c | 13,222$10,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.57 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Cloud9 | 70c | 8,343$5,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,845.53 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Cloud9 | 52c | 7,733$4,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,013.94 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked FURIA | 75c | 5,000$3,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked FURIA | 31c | 3,225$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.25 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Cloud9 | 69c | 1,891$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.49 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FURIA | 30c | 1,717$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.73 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked FURIA | 31c | 1,600$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed FURIA | 32c | 1,399$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Cloud9 | 30c | 1,332$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.16 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -89%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Cloud9 | 66c | 1,189$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked FURIA | 29c | 1,061$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.18 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked Cloud9 | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked FURIA | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…9fcfbacked Cloud9 | 42c | 650.42$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…bbb2backed Cloud9 | 2c | 635$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fed…fa70backed Cloud9 | 69c | 626.58$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.11 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Cloud9 | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FURIA | 70c | 567$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.52 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…d707backed FURIA | 78c | 558.82$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed FURIA | 51c | 555$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.84 | 297 | 58.2%173 W · 124 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…1da1backed Cloud9 | 45c | 500$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Cloud9 | 68c | 464.69$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.99 | 1,246 | 52.6%656 W · 590 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Cloud9 | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Cloud9 | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed FURIA | 32c | 385.45$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.35 | 1,144 | 63.3%724 W · 420 L | +53.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed FURIA | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 242 | 40.9%99 W · 143 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed FURIA | 30c | 286$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed FURIA | 63c | 270.28$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Cloud9 | 43c | 207.86$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…a970backed FURIA | 12c | 191.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f9…605cbacked Cloud9 | 69c | 186.36$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked FURIA | 53c | 184.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed FURIA | 32c | 155.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.15 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cloud9 | 67c | 152.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed FURIA | 33c | 152.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Cloud9 | 67c | 149.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Cloud9 | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…6fe3backed Cloud9 | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…8389backed Cloud9 | 11c | 118.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Cloud9 | 9c | 116.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 663 | 16.4%109 W · 554 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…ae7cbacked FURIA | 55c | 107.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed FURIA | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…fca1backed Cloud9 | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed FURIA | 43c | 98.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…8732backed Cloud9 | 70c | 98.23$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Cloud9 | 61c | 89.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b12…91f9backed Cloud9 | 66c | 86.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cloud9 | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 263 | 63.9%168 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6a…f057backed Cloud9 | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a10…023fbacked Cloud9 | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…a612backed Cloud9 | 17c | 62.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07be…8bf9backed Cloud9 | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…fa11backed FURIA | 43c | 57.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc90…a076backed Cloud9 | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Cloud9 | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked FURIA | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 228 | 58.3%133 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…db19backed FURIA | 47c | 46.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed FURIA | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed FURIA | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa603…eb15backed Cloud9 | 70c | 36.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9e…00b1backed Cloud9 | 69c | 31.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…b19dbacked FURIA | 33c | 30.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…8d1bbacked Cloud9 | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…a297backed Cloud9 | 69c | 23.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ba…707bbacked Cloud9 | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Cloud9 | 71c | 17.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.