TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ee4…3485

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
377
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Music, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Music at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT15854.4%86 W · 72 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 158 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.81
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.27
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.55
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$76.46
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$88.42
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$98.45
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$467.77
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$35
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$42.38
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$21.56
LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dark Passage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16
LoL: DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 3 Winnerbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$200.74
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$154
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+29.4%+$84.79
LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$91.05
Showing 25 of 158 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT8446.4%39 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$50.97
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$194.12
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+145.8%+$141.4
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.94
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.43
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.2
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.63
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.88
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$26.2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$24.27
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$18.23
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.93
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$180.8
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT3732.4%12 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+83.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.35
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$81
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+99.4%+$89.49
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+56.5%+$282.39
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+312.1%+$39.92
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$52.79
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$269.95
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$292.1
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$79.54
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+2,531.6%+$1,215.16
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$193.54
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+92.5%+$99.93
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$260
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+33.3%+$97.33
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+29.4%+$78.8
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$894Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+67%+$598.54
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+25.2%+$126.1
Will Elon tweet between 240 and 259 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon tweet 500–524 times August 8–August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$233
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.2
Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+300.8%+$85.81
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$70.82
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21.68
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$308.99
US strike on Syria by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$130.69
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+194.4%+$45.05
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$129
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$198.65
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$1,658.04
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+408.8%+$1,229.3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$312
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,806Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+46%+$831.04
Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.77
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$301.32
All 21 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-61.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$391.14
Will "Marty Supreme" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$398.54
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+210.9%+$4,492.13
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$102.7
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$27.9
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 137m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 137m and 150m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$18.53
Will "Elio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $23-26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.66
Will "Elio" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 75–79?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.94
Will "Elio" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70–74?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.76
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $78m and $85m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+54%+$197.05
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+47.1%+$98.8
Will Finland win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$404.9
Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$166.45
Will Denmark win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$216.03
Will Norway win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+26.5%+$53.08
Will Portugal win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
Will Argentina vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will Spain beat Portugal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,349.34
Will France beat Germany?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+156.9%+$824.97
UEFA Nations League: Germany vs. Portugal (To Advance)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+199%+$397.29
Will Colombia beat Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.86
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+13.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$348.93
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+87.9%+$374.33
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$103.41
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$920.45
Trump imposes 200% tariff on China before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump raise or lower tariffs on China first?backed Raise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+63.4%+$126.58
Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+351.8%+$92.76
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$60.04
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+39%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+127.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+99.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+195.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$298.66
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$15.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wisconsin vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.9
Loyola Chicago vs. VCUbacked Loyola Chicago · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yoon arrested by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$176
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Dubois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona vs. Girona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$203.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.