La Liga · resolved market
Will Barcelona vs. Girona end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddd9a305e695d152af7e669cb8064739e4d5a3b6c07b88e5216ae91ee1db145d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 2c | 4,222$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.76 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 57c | 2,624$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.23 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.82 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 10c | 1,923$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.54 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 68c | 1,388$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.95 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 13c | 1,342$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9f…2a51backed Yes | 52c | 1,308$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.73 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 13c | 1,233$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.69 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 74c | 896.44$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.46 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 870.51$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.81 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 13c | 833.04$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1090…a501backed Yes | 19c | 809.95$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57c…0602backed Yes | 71c | 808.41$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 33c | 779.01$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.1 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7b…0179backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ce…dc3cbacked Yes | 11c | 700$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 54c | 646.05$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.52 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 54c | 500$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 18c | 374$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed Yes | 4c | 373.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 79c | 359.03$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.02 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 334.43$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.01 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38e…8ed6backed Yes | 68c | 268.57$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2381…2b8fbacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 53c | 220.54$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 13c | 207.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…7ed6backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa646…a861backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 11c | 151.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x199a…f436backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa125…7cdfbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe030…33c8backed Yes | 73c | 117.34$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Yes | 48c | 111$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Yes | 48c | 107.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 50c | 98.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 79c | 90$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2ffebacked Yes | 69c | 88.55$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed No | 80c | 83.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 74c | 83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…138bbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…0aaebacked Yes | 78c | 66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044d…97a4backed Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d8…916dbacked Yes | 65c | 49.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b7…4ca3backed Yes | 75c | 49.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 74cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 62c | 48.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…e144backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45a4…5eb3backed Yes | 61c | 38.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…340cbacked Yes | 65c | 38.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed No | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa96e…e5b5backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ab…97a4backed Yes | 79c | 25.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…40debacked No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Barcelona vs. Girona end in a draw?this page
- Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-18?Yes won
- Will Girona win on 2025-10-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.