TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf2ab…97a4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
222
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Stocks, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 55 out of 100; worst Tweets at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT9954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$117
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+31.6%+$132
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37%+$114.75
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$132
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$119.99
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$147
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$221
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+47.1%+$41.6
Nets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+42.9%+$214.29
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+63.9%+$114.44
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+44%+$131.89
Pistons vs. Nuggetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+48.1%+$129.96
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+38.9%+$196
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$280.6
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$162.5
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+203%+$297.03
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+138.1%+$295.39
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$111.59
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+150%+$150
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$392
Suns vs. 76ersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+96.4%+$322.96
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST2317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-48.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tweets — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+178.4%+$201.6
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+245.9%+$49.19
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$46.99
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+327.4%+$98.21
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30.02
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$27.23
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$32.24
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$24.96
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$58.67
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$31.77
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+36.1%+$158.35
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$151.3
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST2050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$116.42
Bruins vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$286
Rangers vs. Ducksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$130.74
Wild vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$148.5
Stars vs. Utahbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$138.4
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$226
Kraken vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+75.4%+$226.32
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+132.6%+$96.37
Lightning vs. Flyersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+37%+$148.5
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Flames vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Blues vs. Utahbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$69.5
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$100
Utah vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$148
Flyers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+56.3%+$382.5
Blues vs. Sabresbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+117.4%+$645.65
Stars vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$326.07
Sharks vs. Devilsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Kraken vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
All 20 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100.2%+$715.41
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$154.5
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$152
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$127
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$102.5
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+51.5%+$39.77
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+203%+$268.61
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$265
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$100
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$195.81
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$151
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+35.1%+$70.27
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+45%+$179.83
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$374.5
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+334.8%+$334.78
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$47.81
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$98
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+94.8%+$97.07
Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+376.2%+$97.81
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$54.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.75
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.8
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+37%+$105.41
Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+33.2%+$66.45
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+35.6%+$105.06
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+45.2%+$117.53
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$95
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-50.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+182.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$82
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+275.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$302.93
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$6,368Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$1,632
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+3,233.3%+$970
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,295
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$446.86
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+146.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+146.3%+$118.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,611Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$536.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$309.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.