Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaca6129dcc3c0596724150f71faf1fa6aff7905c6123588497b9acf728e46036
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 8c | 10,250$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.41 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 2c | 7,151$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.17 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 7c | 6,118$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.52 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 3c | 5,944$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.01 | 365 | 63%230 W · 135 L | +32.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 4c | 4,702$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.56 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 7c | 4,050$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Yes | 7c | 3,686$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.02 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…925abacked Yes | 2c | 2,956$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…74dbbacked Yes | 7c | 2,766$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31f6…442abacked Yes | 8c | 2,634$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 7c | 2,020$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.57 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 6c | 1,944$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 7c | 1,795$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.76 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…6934backed Yes | 8c | 1,777$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 4c | 1,767$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edd…21f8backed Yes | 7c | 1,386$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…2228backed Yes | 4c | 1,368$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf37…2454backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…5f83backed Yes | 7c | 1,122$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Yes | 8c | 987.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 7c | 928.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 7c | 910.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 6c | 897.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…102cbacked Yes | 6c | 888.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 856.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 7c | 799.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…6977backed Yes | 7c | 782.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…7dadbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 19cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 7c | 712$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Yes | 6c | 698.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 2c | 669$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 7c | 649.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 7c | 611.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 7c | 599.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 5c | 513.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc097…720cbacked Yes | 4c | 488.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 3c | 463.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae4…d0d0backed Yes | 5c | 428.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ab…97a4backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 7c | 408.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…547ebacked Yes | 8c | 337.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d6…09f7backed Yes | 8c | 321.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +163.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fdc3backed Yes | 8c | 321.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…5c93backed Yes | 6c | 296.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Yes | 7c | 292$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…f74fbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…e6febacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 7c | 280.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbb…53c4backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…cf4bbacked Yes | 7c | 212.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…2ca9backed Yes | 6c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x546d…b6f4backed Yes | 7c | 193.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a0…20dabacked Yes | 7c | 190.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 7c | 185.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 226 | 58.8%133 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 7c | 143$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…5263backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.