TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,207,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,377,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,207,595 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 718 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94f0…cd31backed Yes80c282,700$226,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226,157.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-45.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No20c245,316$49,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196,252.4427750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No20c150,000$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119,999.9420140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No17c45,759$7,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,828.799141.8%38 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe715…d33abacked Yes79c41,946$33,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,337.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No21c40,858$8,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,286.1910455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No21c36,815$7,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,983.66,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No20c29,934$5,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,946.8331944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes79c27,674$21,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,988.92,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes80c20,000$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,00030851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No20c16,343$3,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,138.1824146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No37c15,508$5,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,757.162,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes80c13,060$10,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,4481,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No21c12,600$2,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,9547542.7%32 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Yes80c12,370$9,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8962828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd289…079fbacked Yes79c11,231$8,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,8881118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Yes80c10,257$8,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,205.6218950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes80c10,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00016651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.9817042.9%73 W · 97 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No15c8,509$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,225.491,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked No55c8,143$4,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,685.952166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+73.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes80c8,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,40037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes80c7,654$6,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,122.841,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Yes80c6,863$5,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,490.723234.4%11 W · 21 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x28c1…b5a2backed Yes80c6,129$4,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,903.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No20c6,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,819.9915748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No20c5,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00018433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9610…f02cbacked No20c5,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,019.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+73%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No21c4,945$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,906.5810335%36 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed No19c4,911$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,977.917149.3%35 W · 36 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes69c4,432$3,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,066.212,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed No20c4,250$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,387.53151.6%16 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+42.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes80c4,173$3,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3384755.3%26 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No20c4,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,219.929358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes80c3,832$3,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,065.8923350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe402…4243backed Yes80c3,519$2,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,815.061154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe570…70e5backed No20c3,469$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7753100%3 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+333.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Yes80c3,450$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,76012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes27c3,447$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.220646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes80c3,295$2,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,636.091,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf7e…339abacked Yes73c3,200$2,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3443151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes80c3,188$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550.42147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Yes49c3,137$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.634841.7%20 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No20c3,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40015944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes80c3,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40010148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes80c3,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40011645.7%53 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x285e…c2f4backed No20c3,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+112.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8a7…6fa3backed Yes76c2,870$2,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,190.5750%0 W · 5 L-3.5wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes80c2,661$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,128.9820246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed Yes80c2,500$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No20c2,500$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.9920448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes46c2,500$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.9925836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked No19c2,500$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.958226.8%22 W · 60 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Yes80c2,488$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,990633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes80c2,488$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99049254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No20c2,453$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.3814254.2%77 W · 65 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes71c2,394$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7001,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes80c2,108$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.593941%16 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x368e…c79abacked No20c2,094$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+358.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No21c2,050$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No20c2,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6004862.5%30 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes80c2,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9830…c450backed Yes76c1,974$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf65d…9e25backed Yes51c1,944$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes39c1,936$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes53c1,926$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0252846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Yes80c1,875$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006354%34 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No20c1,739$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.041060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+63.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No17c1,672$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.6636563%230 W · 135 L+32.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd612…0bc1backed Yes79c1,643$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.6717254.1%93 W · 79 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked No21c1,631$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2972347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+42.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No16c1,624$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.336333.3%21 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fc…1511backed Yes7c1,616$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.781225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Yes49c1,592$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.6311234.8%39 W · 73 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x976c…907cbacked Yes55c1,516$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.66425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-64.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6211…513bbacked Yes68c1,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes54c1,299$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.1825052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No28c1,286$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.596240.3%25 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77fb…3e17backed Yes78c1,282$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002544%11 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-30.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes79c1,263$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.7751750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9120…102cbacked Yes42c1,243$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.21827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No40c1,193$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.764,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffe…3f31backed Yes80c1,187$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.64344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed No68c1,165$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.643240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Yes61c1,145$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.074860.4%29 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No17c1,130$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.3177336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No20c1,114$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89114754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes48c1,075$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5185825.9%15 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No23c1,000$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7709958.6%58 W · 41 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked No20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8008043.8%35 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33e1…b30fbacked No47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+78.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes79c1,000$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80014854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No21c1,000$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb20d…db55backed No19c1,000$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8102100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+228.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe955…3b03backed Yes23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No53c999.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.9913837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No20c959.34$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.0227141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.