TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf8a7…6fa3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$1,440
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,035.06
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,046.72
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,410Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$4,590
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.22
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10,263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,262.85
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$211
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.99
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$106.33
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$126
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$78.42
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.5
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$917Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$916.78
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+400%+$560.24
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$2,188.86
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$105
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17,740Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+48%+$8,512.62
All 20 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,672Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.4%+$1,328
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$510.83
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+29.9%+$230
Over $26M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.85
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,429Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+38.2%+$928.89
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$377.1
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$285
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$942Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49%+$461.26
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,889Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+32%+$925.55
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,344.26
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$688Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$688.34
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14,592Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,592.39
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+288.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffsbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,641Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,640.65
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$275
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+3,233.3%+$808.76
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$219.22
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$67.99
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,596Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+56.2%+$1,460.27
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,699.62
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$416.42
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+33.5%+$118.5
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10,767Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+25%+$2,691.86
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-3.5wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+87.5%+$1,400
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+38.9%+$559.99
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+28.2%+$1,100
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick4cpaid+719.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$37.32
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,995Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+26.2%+$1,835.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,434Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+51.5%+$1,254.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10,540Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+47.4%+$4,991.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$29.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,013Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$454.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$64,600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+31.6%+$20,400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$5,900
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$3,469.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.