TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$733,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$823,427

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $733,004 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 578 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed No66c113,611$74,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,910.6561447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No60c85,546$51,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,667.131,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes35c40,571$14,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,467.7512344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No65c31,330$20,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,319.259441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes35c31,142$10,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,380.658056.3%45 W · 35 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No62c29,160$18,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,089.9458248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes34c27,534$9,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,062.7429350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes35c25,247$8,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,390.4229846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No68c12,500$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,50028543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No67c12,017$8,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,051.573737.8%14 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda9b…b2a9backed Yes36c10,275$3,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,596.73785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+94.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed Yes36c10,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,400633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed No1c9,379$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Yes32c8,267$2,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,621.561266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+48.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac7a…29c8backed No67c8,012$5,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,367.78955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No68c8,000$5,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,439.9718160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No68c7,815$5,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,314.353237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes33c7,682$2,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,135.668647.7%41 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes69c7,365$5,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,318.2239443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes36c7,241$2,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,625.133253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes32c7,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7601838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes33c7,000$2,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6768938.2%34 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No68c6,968$4,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,704.3438748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No67c6,100$4,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0875341.5%22 W · 31 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb92c…f5bdbacked No67c6,000$4,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,019.93728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-47.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No65c5,559$3,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,611.8934342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No68c5,108$3,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,460.096251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No67c4,891$3,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,262.1116144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4cfe…1afcbacked Yes36c4,319$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,774.2785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No64c4,000$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5604238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No67c4,000$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,679.9413548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes33c3,833$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,583.612548%12 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5b1…072cbacked Yes32c3,500$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3801100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Yes29c3,326$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,361.22751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Yes32c3,125$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,125785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+51.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes36c3,117$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.671643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc62c…2c44backed Yes33c3,030$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes34c3,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,98012242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed Yes35c3,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9501573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+45.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf8a7…6fa3backed Yes33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No69c2,899$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes36c2,809$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.493036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Yes36c2,778$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.782729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2073…385bbacked Yes32c2,749$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.051163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+64.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked Yes61c2,667$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.92441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No18c2,584$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.359136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No65c2,494$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.3639842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes31c2,421$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.864946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Yes33c2,360$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.853423.5%8 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-49.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes33c2,230$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.1113349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No64c2,127$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.065145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes36c1,944$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.441735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed Yes32c1,938$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.992470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No67c1,851$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.9712644.4%56 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Yes31c1,829$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.722450%12 W · 12 L+6.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+96.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes62c1,796$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.9546048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No64c1,665$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.599043.3%39 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Yes44c1,586$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.521656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes29c1,584$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.518523.5%20 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b49…69c1backed Yes33c1,534$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.091283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+42.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb503…715cbacked No68c1,515$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Yes36c1,501$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.093056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04cc…8e14backed Yes32c1,500$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0201100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked No69c1,500$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0353138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes32c1,475$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.224334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes31c1,465$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.792937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No14c1,416$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.252552%13 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…58ebbacked Yes31c1,387$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.1560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick28cpaid+96.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No65c1,314$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.1612352.8%65 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed Yes69c1,309$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Yes31c1,290$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.321060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+47.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes33c1,270$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.710628.3%30 W · 76 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes34c1,177$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.138543.5%37 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b3d…f0c9backed Yes33c1,150$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No65c1,111$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.124042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cb4…f89dbacked No69c1,020$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.8862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6706747.8%32 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6406141%25 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6707041.4%29 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No66c972.79$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.0110660.4%64 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58b…cba8backed Yes27c969.47$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.472744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Yes16c968.74$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.363060%18 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+38.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked No68c960$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.81540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc53e…da94backed No64c938.65$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.74757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Yes36c920.41$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.062268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes29c899.27$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.376666.7%44 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes37c898.28$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.3717348%83 W · 90 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf074…9164backed Yes34c882.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.351050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+141.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No69c869.57$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60015252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x177c…bcd1backed Yes30c859.43$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6b4…827fbacked Yes34c855.88$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+59.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Yes34c824.9$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.83441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes34c790.97$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.979924.2%24 W · 75 L-7.9wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-43.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No53c757.79$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9916036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No68c753$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.046442.2%27 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0100…9babbacked Yes34c735.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.29944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3c…a938backed Yes36c713.9$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.91080%8 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+81.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc610…fd2dbacked Yes33c703.21$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.154100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+110.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Yes36c694.44$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.444759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23d3…eb28backed Yes33c679.98$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.59837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.