TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2073…385b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT8042.5%34 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Juan Carlos Prado vs Tomas Barriosbacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,200
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$8,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,888
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$6,666Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,666
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensikbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,333
National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$4,776Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+236.3%+$11,286.86
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$1,800.67
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,333Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,514.37
National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,333Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+200.3%+$6,675.2
National Bank Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,792Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,022.05
National Bank Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,222
National Bank Open: Mariano Navone vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,099Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$761.91
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$3,552.41
National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$9,761Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5,028.27
National Bank Open: Ignacio Buse vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,745Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+45%+$785.31
National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,328Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,328.12
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$592
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$8,032Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$4,517.33
National Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,333
Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$5,559.15
Canadian Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Valentin Royerbacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$9,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,450.19
National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$5,344Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,343.85
National Bank Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,333Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$6,767
Set 2 Winner: Michelsen vs Struffbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,014Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$3,150.43
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+64.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,419Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,839.86
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+108.5%+$1,453.85
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+259.8%+$1,299.25
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$563.83
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$365.25
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$890Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+208.9%+$1,859.05
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+56.3%+$562.5
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$716Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+243.2%+$1,741.57
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$280
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+54.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+566.7%+$1,133.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,326Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,326
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.