Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99547dd64f12de0fbd1f746895a88d1a75794084b138d1eae510990163b9c137
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Club Atlético de Madridof Club Atlético de Madrid, Club Brugge KV
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 24c | 3,194$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.41 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Club Brugge KV | 77c | 2,789$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.77 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 26c | 2,258$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.2 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Club Brugge KV | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.98 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Club Brugge KV | 73c | 1,992$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.27 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…385bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 1,799$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Club Brugge KV | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.95 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Club Brugge KV | 73c | 1,416$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.25 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Club Brugge KV | 74c | 1,349$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.11 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 26c | 1,308$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.69 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 27c | 1,148$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 26c | 1,146$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.68 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 18c | 799.3$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.9 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d8…8dd3backed Club Brugge KV | 75c | 787.69$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b220backed Club Brugge KV | 74c | 600$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 26c | 528.27$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.17 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 14c | 524.01$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.65 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Club Brugge KV | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…80acbacked Club Brugge KV | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 17c | 370.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 27c | 333.71$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.12 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Club Brugge KV | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 27c | 277.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +60%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Club Brugge KV | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Club Brugge KV | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Club Brugge KV | 80c | 184.8$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.84 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Club Brugge KV | 74c | 159.66$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 155.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.29 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 21c | 96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +13.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 26c | 84.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 27c | 82.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.38 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x637f…a0c9backed Club Brugge KV | 74c | 77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…da0dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 27c | 74.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87bc…ff29backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 27c | 71.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 26c | 70.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a2…1053backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 26c | 69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…ca71backed Club Brugge KV | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3949…626dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 27c | 61.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Club Brugge KV | 79c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fda…1fb9backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 27c | 58.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +148.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…16cdbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 27c | 57.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +151%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…51cebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 26c | 56.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 26c | 56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Club Brugge KV | 72c | 55.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 59c | 47.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 27c | 42.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb7…3e82backed Club Brugge KV | 79c | 40.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Club Brugge KV | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +90%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc80…15febacked Club Brugge KV | 74c | 34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…29b4backed Club Brugge KV | 75c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Club Brugge KV | 73c | 32.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c34…a10dbacked Club Brugge KV | 74c | 31.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Club Brugge KV | 76c | 29.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…cf14backed Club Brugge KV | 76c | 24.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe184…8919backed Club Brugge KV | 74c | 22.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Club Brugge KV | 77c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x521f…a9c6backed Club Brugge KV | 80c | 21.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d3…11fdbacked Club Brugge KV | 74c | 20.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8e…c44abacked Club Brugge KV | 75c | 20.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a8…e3cfbacked Club Brugge KV | 74c | 18.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ce…6c7fbacked Club Brugge KV | 75c | 18.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…1903backed Club Brugge KV | 75c | 17.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…0b78backed Club Brugge KV | 74c | 17.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Club Brugge KV | 74c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Club Brugge KV (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.