TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,044
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,907

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,044 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd178…6703backed Under76c20,336$15,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,455.017042.9%30 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under75c13,314$9,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,984.934759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under7c10,509$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.0726445.8%121 W · 143 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over46c10,000$4,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,407.621850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over38c8,744$3,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,453.5610051%51 W · 49 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over25c7,603$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,729.1326047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over26c6,593$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,887.781,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over38c5,900$2,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,652.859757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Under78c3,800$2,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9711668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Under75c2,667$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over27c2,013$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.821,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under61c1,915$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.5634342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over25c1,730$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.3912344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over32c1,562$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.164470.5%31 W · 13 L+6.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+44.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over23c1,485$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.9641238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Under74c1,351$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012333.3%41 W · 82 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over32c1,263$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.763050%15 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+48.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over25c1,244$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.715525.5%14 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under64c1,085$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.0446048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Under76c855.26$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6503036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x138d…3bd4backed Under48c831.45$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.991233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+76.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fff…d384backed Under67c770.25$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.0720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over24c758.45$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57999435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Over27c729.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.442157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under77c714.29$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55022054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Under67c656.61$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.421060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+47.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb903…9942backed Under80c625$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under63c612.59$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.0516036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over55c571$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.9721460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over53c570.77$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.774573.3%33 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6081…f0f2backed Over45c550.09$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.551369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+56.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Under66c550$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3634555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda4…d5dbbacked Over40c530$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.61560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8577…199abacked Over32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+75.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa99a…388ebacked Over32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3403100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+125.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under74c472.96$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.998146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9242…19dfbacked Under80c450$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid+20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over47c427.19$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6415657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1c3…a583backed Over43c426.88$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+36.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3007133.8%24 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over53c390$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.39653.1%51 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed Under52c388.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over44c360.43$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.847245.8%33 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over39c349.04$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.463240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over47c344.68$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.682060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Under72c333$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.761471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Under47c324.55$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.543655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Over47c319.11$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.133650%18 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+61.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd859…38c5backed Over26c280$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.22025%5 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over40c275.84$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.36633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over25c266.9$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.938643%37 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0def…5045backed Under76c263.84$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Over25c255.88$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.914632.6%15 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x388b…25ddbacked Under80c252.11$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.61747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over51c249.99$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12317251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under69c239$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.633161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over48c230.77$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.776262.9%39 W · 23 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+39%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf174…d052backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.226100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+261.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x05f8…d87fbacked Over32c210.57$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.19580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+107.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over24c201.08$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.8214645.2%66 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed Under71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1421172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Over28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1442948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under73c182.29$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.886761.2%41 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1985…8cbdbacked Under65c177.47$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1164143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8d…6d9cbacked Under74c173$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.181258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Under73c164.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Over26c152.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.213930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4913…d01bbacked Under72c149.6$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.162860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…afb0backed Under67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6881…525dbacked Under66c147.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.67933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under75c144$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10820644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Over26c142.54$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.921323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under75c139.21$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8112935.7%46 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf3f2…fe1bbacked Under74c139.19$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd5a5…de5dbacked Under74c137.2$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over50c136.1$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.64555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2eda…4498backed Over45c135$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Under52c135$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.22420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42f0…daf4backed Under74c134.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f15…d3a1backed Under74c131.91$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over45c122.85$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2620643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8804…a3a7backed Over42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.052846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over31c114.34$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.746950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over27c113.84$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.138748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over29c113.67$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.936350.8%32 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.113056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a07…ce91backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over41c105.77$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0213252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over50c105.04$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0414145.4%64 W · 77 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over41c104.88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.888450%42 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58ae…5c25backed Over27c104.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.24875%6 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.43per pick32cpaid+195.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under77c104$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.049058.9%53 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758043.8%35 W · 45 L+11.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+60.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507068.6%48 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7510647.2%50 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Over20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ee…446cbacked Over30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701850%9 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5811653.4%62 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.