TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$356,721
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$399,950

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,721 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x916f…53babacked Over46c113,585$51,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,879.43757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c84,487$39,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,728.621,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under54c13,009$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,000.4426445.8%121 W · 143 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over46c11,636$5,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,283.22240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2795…fd6bbacked Under57c10,834$6,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,195812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick49cpaid-73%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over75c10,218$7,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,554.442268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.9828543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under54c9,815$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,300837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7ed…d6b5backed Over75c9,802$7,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,450.39475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under58c8,621$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over44c8,255$3,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,611.3412344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ace…ea51backed Under54c8,148$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under54c7,596$4,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,106.8938748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Under42c7,188$3,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,028.552536%9 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over45c7,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8501861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+78.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under54c6,443$3,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4791656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a0…e723backed Under54c6,296$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over57c5,097$2,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,207.0410051%51 W · 49 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under54c4,816$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600.3829445.9%135 W · 159 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over44c4,309$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,412.77742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over44c3,412$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.8826047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under25c3,129$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.0134342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under55c2,849$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.7613548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under55c2,752$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+44.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over77c2,654$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.31070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae0…836abacked Under54c2,593$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Over47c2,564$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.722157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under58c2,500$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44521938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Under40c2,460$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.164139%16 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under54c2,407$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3003839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02ac…346fbacked Under54c2,407$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over44c2,308$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.6358248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd829…d60ebacked Over46c2,231$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Under54c2,174$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1741421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.5wins-0.32per pick53cpaid-58.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x434d…bed3backed Over47c2,149$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under54c1,971$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.3429350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under56c1,790$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008354.2%45 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cc8…9069backed Under58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Under68c1,650$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.643554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under58c1,632$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.642740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over73c1,512$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.081172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over32c1,497$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.262646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c1,487$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.921,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over45c1,470$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.495745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa89a…8667backed Over44c1,364$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under55c1,214$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.198643%37 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over79c1,152$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.314276.2%32 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over76c1,114$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.552356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.833145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf425…be71backed Over34c883.85$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.85728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Over58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.074759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Under58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6839…0dc5backed Under54c833.33$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc3…a1b0backed Over58c830.08$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.63475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick45cpaid+77.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7294…772ebacked Under56c790$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over45c777.77$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.778146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.234573.3%33 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe74a…f1bfbacked Under54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x050d…2f13backed Over56c719.53$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.53475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd43a…608bbacked Under56c710$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4053…91b9backed Over45c700$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over43c700$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3995152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over74c659.26$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.417245.8%33 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.358556.5%48 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02ee…6605backed Under59c613.25$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under54c599.99$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.9913349.6%66 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under41c594.66$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.8139443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under56c580.68$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.183050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc75…3663backed Under54c575.93$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-56.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over36c556.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.536735.8%24 W · 43 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5508…5a70backed Under62c550$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12059136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Over45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2753148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Over73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+44.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2653161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Over75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1252642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under57c499.99$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28520644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under38c495.27$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.25525.5%14 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Under60c482.57$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.542445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4913…d01bbacked Over55c479.87$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.022860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over74c470.19$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.251752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under33c461.18$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.4116036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over46c450$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24310566.7%70 W · 35 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over43c444.34$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.279841.8%41 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Under58c431.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over65c405.79$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.266858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x368c…9f72backed Over77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over47c394.36$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.359743.3%42 W · 55 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over74c394$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.033056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under28c386.32$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4499435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under48c380.7$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.0320643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Under54c370.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.071361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf035…d35fbacked Under54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002060%12 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+64.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over57c360$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.89653.1%51 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…c25bbacked Under56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x307d…6865backed Under58c334$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.721770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under54c333.33$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over55c327.41$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0110760.7%65 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c14…ffa5backed Over46c309.74$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17712748%61 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.