Champions League · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x499d2a3262867e1d438cff63170475314e4e7c3c879d38e8abb703c8352b4ca5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 14c | 21,203$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.65 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 13c | 4,901$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.21 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 13c | 4,480$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.35 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 16c | 2,986$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.63 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 14c | 2,634$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.65 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Under | 12c | 1,617$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.38 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 14c | 1,453$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 14c | 1,263$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.58 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 13c | 912.78$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 14c | 555.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.79 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 14c | 297.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 16c | 251.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 13c | 214.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…9aadbacked Under | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 16c | 183.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Under | 14c | 165.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 14c | 146.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…6f61backed Under | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb992…0838backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Under | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Under | 14c | 99.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 13c | 77.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Under | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Under | 15c | 71.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Club Brugge KV (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.