TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,109
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$195,287

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,109 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under27c40,152$10,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,758.111,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Over65c11,597$7,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,037.841931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over68c11,096$7,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,536.8512344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ba…d35fbacked Under31c8,013$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,482.591323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under32c6,813$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.8826445.8%121 W · 143 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under32c5,438$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74010733.6%36 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over64c5,313$3,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.676657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under42c4,526$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.5934342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over68c4,412$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.844365.1%28 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under35c3,999$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.8113548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over66c3,756$2,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.9126047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under28c3,401$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.711,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over68c3,297$2,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.148751.7%45 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b1c…6535backed Under31c3,029$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.031435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+73.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under33c2,730$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.893754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Over60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0007750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over67c2,239$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.8113349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under32c2,058$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.5643427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under25c2,043$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.9916036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over59c1,543$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.1441238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over74c1,532$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.6710051%51 W · 49 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over56c1,444$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.36862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under32c1,418$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.0759441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over69c1,168$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.613145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over68c1,134$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.952665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x050d…2f13backed Over66c1,128$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over67c1,106$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.121172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under32c1,094$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3508146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Over67c1,045$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.813148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under34c999.96$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9824327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Under32c999.91$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.972955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under35c914.24$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.1746048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over67c882.55$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.2438748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over69c869.57$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.573764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under28c864.02$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.2239443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over63c852.22$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.322356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over68c761$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.5229350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Under35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under38c700$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26421938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over68c661.76$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.766864.7%44 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under34c600$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20413349.6%66 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1927068.6%48 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1923268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over68c588.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2420655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over70c571.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.434957.1%28 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda4…d5dbbacked Over58c508.55$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.59560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over66c504.55$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.556248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17529138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under16c498.27$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2299435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Over68c483.82$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.822382.6%19 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over67c456.41$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.0620639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over68c450$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5510566.7%70 W · 35 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under35c413.42$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.068643%37 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under27c400$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1093852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under35c369.32$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.265525.5%14 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf63…65dfbacked Over62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.582853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over66c302.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.743565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Over68c299.99$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1210760.7%65 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Under35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003030%9 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac86…b3b3backed Over66c251.52$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.52560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x573c…c365backed Over60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick53cpaid+63.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over68c220.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.592450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Under39c219.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.84835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over65c219.97$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.991984.2%16 W · 3 L+6.6wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+79.1%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Under36c211.19$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.841758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6814645.2%66 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6225659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under35c179.86$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.954632.6%15 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87df…48f3backed Over66c174.24$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2105…64adbacked Over60c166.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.581540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over61c164.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.243444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6f…06c4backed Under33c162$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.462437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3247…eb6ebacked Over69c159.42$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.421241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.733240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under28c156.78$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5920643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f7b…20bbbacked Under33c151.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Under32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810431.7%33 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeae5…4d0dbacked Over67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over67c148.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0310256.9%58 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.063164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over65c144.9$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.712378.3%18 W · 5 L+7.1wins+0.31per pick48cpaid+127.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over67c137.52$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3810164.4%65 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over62c136.57$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.012458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under33c135$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9463150.2%317 W · 314 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Under39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over62c121.13$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.132642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under33c121.08$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4717045.9%78 W · 92 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6881…525dbacked Under32c119.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.18933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe24f…d68abacked Over68c117.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.652842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over68c105.09$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6311360.2%68 W · 45 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Under39c101.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404314%6 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid+46.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked Over69c101.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.452441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x17b0…4055backed Over67c101$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…54d2backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Under34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345226.9%14 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4019455.7%108 W · 86 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Under32c99.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd46…bcd2backed Under33c97.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2550%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.