TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa89a…8667

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,645Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,580.04
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,838Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$3,362.19
Utah vs. Canucksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$7,325Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$3,608
Canucks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$4,599.83
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,296Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,804
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,974Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,974.35
Lightning vs. Krakenbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$3,800
Maple Leafs vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,760
Flyers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,022.96
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,754Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,754.2
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$7,112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$3,503.19
Maple Leafs vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+74.7%+$822.23
Hurricanes vs. Canucksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+35.1%+$2,283.78
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,603Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$1,464.02
Blue Jackets vs. Rangersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,824Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$3,673.6
Devils vs. Bluesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,532Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,472.08
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,200
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,044Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$756.25
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$539.3
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$680
Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$816Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$784.3
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$752.24
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$757.35
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,540Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$3,626.73
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Mavericks vs. Celticsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$818Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$755.08
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+100%+$800
Trail Blazers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$2,153.85
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$574.98
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,817Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$2,816.57
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,908Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+38.9%+$1,130.75
Spread: Hawks (-12.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$800
All 16 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+41.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Shamil Gaziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,753.54
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,021Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,626.69
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Tracy Cortez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$930.34
UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Damian Pinas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,683Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$828.94
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,259.6
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Sean O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$722.05
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Nate Landwehr · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$777.44
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Miguel Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$797Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$265.5
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Marwan Rahiki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$211.42
UFC Fight Night: Chris Curtis vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Myktybek Orolbai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$188.34
UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Vitor Petrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$246.72
UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Bolaji Oki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Manoel Sousa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$102.19
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Caio Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,706Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$731.25
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+203%+$741.06
UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+400%+$720
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Georgetown Hoyas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$679.63
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-13.5)backed Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$745.13
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-11.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$743Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$743.44
Davidson Wildcats vs. St. Bonaventure Bonniesbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,389Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,388.85
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$916Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$916
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+127.3%+$763.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ranger Suarez: Strikeouts O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,548.7
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$754.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: CAR (-1.5)backed CAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$761Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$760.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$799.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.