NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18135adc05b83f61acf48c97fbf8f6efd52706949294432afd4513c5f2e793b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,857 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Lakers | 48c | 63,804$30,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,177.83 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pacers | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Lakers | 49c | 40,600$19,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,711.65 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Pacers | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,299.97 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 46c | 27,772$12,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,869.03 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Pacers | 54c | 17,171$9,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,255 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Lakers | 47c | 11,001$5,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,830.32 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Lakers | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers | 52c | 9,609$4,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,969.42 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pacers | 52c | 9,183$4,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,775.07 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pacers | 52c | 8,964$4,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,661.17 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Pacers | 53c | 8,182$4,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,336.46 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Pacers | 54c | 7,861$4,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,222.64 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Pacers | 53c | 7,104$3,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,764.9 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Pacers | 53c | 5,547$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.82 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers | 46c | 5,431$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,938.41 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 54c | 5,235$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.03 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Pacers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 51c | 4,647$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Lakers | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Lakers | 47c | 3,830$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.81 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…db78backed Lakers | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pacers | 53c | 2,972$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.52 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pacers | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Lakers | 49c | 2,755$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.1 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Lakers | 47c | 2,734$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.95 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers | 53c | 2,563$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.64 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lakers | 46c | 2,019$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.18 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…55b3backed Pacers | 51c | 1,910$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.09 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Lakers | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.73 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Pacers | 53c | 1,788$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.92 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pacers | 51c | 1,600$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.11 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89a…8667backed Pacers | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Pacers | 52c | 1,400$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Pacers | 52c | 1,217$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.63 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Lakers | 46c | 1,103$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.51 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pacers | 51c | 1,082$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.77 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Lakers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Lakers | 49c | 714.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.63 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers | 47c | 705.52$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.29 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Pacers | 54c | 696.47$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.09 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pacers | 53c | 693.54$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.11 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Pacers | 51c | 627.45$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Pacers | 17c | 599.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pacers | 52c | 586$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.72 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Pacers | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Pacers | 53c | 568.39$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Lakers | 48c | 557.34$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.42 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Lakers | 49c | 512.88$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.88 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Pacers | 35c | 505.54$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.95 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Pacers | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…6413backed Lakers | 49c | 481.63$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.63 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…0a6fbacked Pacers | 52c | 480$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pacers | 51c | 470.1$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.96 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9497…8290backed Lakers | 48c | 466.67$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Lakers | 50c | 455.77$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.77 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4694…b6b2backed Lakers | 48c | 415.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.32 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Lakers | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Pacers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d5…1232backed Pacers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Pacers | 53c | 383.62$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.32 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pacers | 53c | 376.54$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.15 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked Lakers | 48c | 340.45$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.03 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Lakers | 49c | 327.77$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.19 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Lakers | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Pacers | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Lakers | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.71 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Pacers | 51c | 274.95$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.13 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0875…167cbacked Lakers | 76c | 263.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Lakers | 49c | 259.62$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.41 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…51d6backed Pacers | 58c | 224.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Lakers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Lakers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Lakers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pacers | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Lakers | 48c | 198.21$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Pacers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Pacers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Pacers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c5…6394backed Lakers | 55c | 188.02$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac0…7fe9backed Lakers | 47c | 186.35$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.77 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Pacers | 53c | 178$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.79 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Lakers | 70c | 170.14$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Lakers | 47c | 166.49$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.24 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Lakers | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Lakers | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Lakers | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pacers | 51c | 159.94$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Lakers | 49c | 155.29$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 221 | 48%106 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lakers | 46c | 152$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Pacers | 10c | 146.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Lakers | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Lakers | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Pacers | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Lakers | 50c | 136$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Pacers | 52c | 130.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Lakers | 49c | 126$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Lakers | 49c | 122.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…196ebacked Lakers | 49c | 120.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Lakers | 53c | 119.24$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 33.5Yes won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Pacers vs. LakersLakers won
- Pacers vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Pacers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-8.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.