NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc59af4f2bbfb496cf2300f61a9463d6f0955be59a287007441cdd3fefec7feaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,905 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Lakers | 52c | 46,568$24,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,352.42 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pacers | 48c | 35,729$17,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,142.46 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 48c | 13,743$6,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,632.87 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 51c | 10,115$5,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,956.47 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Lakers | 52c | 8,766$4,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,207.67 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers | 48c | 8,154$3,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,913.92 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Pacers | 48c | 7,602$3,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,627.89 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers | 51c | 7,247$3,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,694.17 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 50c | 3,639$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.65 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Pacers | 9c | 3,318$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.04 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers | 48c | 2,541$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pacers | 47c | 2,372$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.99 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers | 48c | 1,843$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.12 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Lakers | 53c | 1,786$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.63 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pacers | 23c | 1,763$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.68 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 48c | 1,658$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Pacers | 49c | 1,234$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.66 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pacers | 48c | 1,083$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.64 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Lakers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Lakers | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Lakers | 53c | 867.92$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.92 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Pacers | 49c | 714$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.86 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Lakers | 53c | 563.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.94 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…dbaebacked Pacers | 52c | 537.25$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.27 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers | 65c | 496.68$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.35 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Lakers | 53c | 484.16$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.56 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pacers | 47c | 474.18$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.86 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…e717backed Lakers | 54c | 326.76$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.76 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Lakers | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Lakers | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Lakers | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Lakers | 53c | 232.5$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.27 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Lakers | 53c | 215.03$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.06 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Lakers | 50c | 200.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.22 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Lakers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Lakers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Lakers | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Lakers | 58c | 158.76$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Lakers | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Lakers | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pacers | 46c | 149.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pacers | 42c | 122.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Lakers | 53c | 114.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 221 | 48%106 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Lakers | 54c | 113.69$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pacers | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Lakers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Pacers | 12c | 98.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Lakers | 53c | 93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Pacers | 44c | 77.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Pacers | 47c | 77.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac0…7fe9backed Lakers | 52c | 77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Pacers | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Lakers | 53c | 72.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6234…15c9backed Lakers | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Lakers | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Lakers | 53c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Pacers | 49c | 52.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Pacers | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…c6afbacked Lakers | 53c | 49.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed Lakers | 53c | 48.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Lakers | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pacers | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Lakers | 54c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed Lakers | 54c | 38.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd064…2704backed Pacers | 48c | 38.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8b…6119backed Lakers | 53c | 37.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db5…8a96backed Lakers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Pacers | 48c | 36.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…8de0backed Lakers | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e08…1411backed Lakers | 55c | 35.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb706…c2adbacked Lakers | 53c | 34.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 206 | 41.7%86 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pacers | 44c | 33.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Lakers | 54c | 31.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…884bbacked Lakers | 76c | 29.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…7d08backed Lakers | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Lakers | 53c | 27.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca32…47f0backed Lakers | 53c | 24.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Lakers | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Pacers | 47c | 23.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Pacers | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e7…ef21backed Pacers | 56c | 21.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Lakers | 52c | 20.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lakers | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Lakers | 54c | 19.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Lakers | 52c | 19.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e3…2216backed Lakers | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 33.5Yes won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Pacers vs. LakersLakers won
- Pacers vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Pacers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.