NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f318a4650e2a56a9479db98aac1a4d84bdb9ae47eb730dd13f357065de83d4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,292 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Pacers | 56c | 66,231$37,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,075.33 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Pacers | 59c | 47,619$27,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,964.88 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Lakers | 44c | 18,772$8,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,512.32 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Pacers | 54c | 13,421$7,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,247.18 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 45c | 11,781$5,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,485.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 43c | 10,957$4,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.35 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pacers | 56c | 10,888$6,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,097.18 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Lakers | 51c | 10,821$5,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,294.24 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c21…9b8abacked Lakers | 44c | 10,377$4,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,811.39 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Lakers | 41c | 8,578$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,061.14 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 41c | 8,009$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,717.71 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers | 48c | 7,392$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.59 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Lakers | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818.41 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 43c | 5,162$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.46 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Pacers | 59c | 5,046$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.26 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Lakers | 44c | 3,990$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.45 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 42c | 3,337$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.42 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Pacers | 57c | 3,249$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.06 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2a…9aa8backed Lakers | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Lakers | 44c | 2,700$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Lakers | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers | 42c | 2,194$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.27 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Pacers | 54c | 2,170$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lakers | 42c | 2,049$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Lakers | 44c | 2,013$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.28 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lakers | 44c | 1,891$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.42 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…f9d5backed Pacers | 51c | 1,621$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.71 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…19f8backed Pacers | 51c | 1,379$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.29 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Lakers | 65c | 1,326$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.16 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pacers | 30c | 1,191$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.2 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Lakers | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Pacers | 54c | 1,080$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.2 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Lakers | 44c | 1,073$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.65 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Lakers | 69c | 1,016$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.4 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d46…3215backed Lakers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Pacers | 35c | 966.98$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.44 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Pacers | 53c | 963.33$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.56 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 42c | 923.33$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.64 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Lakers | 41c | 902.34$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.62 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Lakers | 43c | 755.81$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.81 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Pacers | 50c | 720$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.66 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Lakers | 44c | 527.98$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.43 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Lakers | 54c | 498.9$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.9 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers | 75c | 480$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed Pacers | 25c | 470$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Lakers | 41c | 469.95$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.27 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Lakers | 70c | 425.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.57 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Pacers | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lakers | 42c | 334.46$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.55 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Lakers | 45c | 313.56$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.46 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Pacers | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pacers | 54c | 293.26$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.36 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Lakers | 41c | 273.93$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.62 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Pacers | 50c | 245$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Lakers | 45c | 231.49$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Lakers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Lakers | 44c | 222.22$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.54 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Pacers | 59c | 212.1$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.05 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Pacers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.9 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Lakers | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Lakers | 46c | 191.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Lakers | 59c | 178.6$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Lakers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Pacers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lakers | 42c | 175$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.66 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…185bbacked Lakers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 292 | 47.9%140 W · 152 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Pacers | 57c | 172.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Lakers | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Lakers | 45c | 157$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Lakers | 41c | 155.65$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.83 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Lakers | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Lakers | 44c | 147.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Lakers | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Pacers | 54c | 132$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers | 65c | 130.74$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked Lakers | 43c | 127.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Lakers | 54c | 125.76$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Lakers | 44c | 118.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.62 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Pacers | 44c | 113.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 43c | 109.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Lakers | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Pacers | 54c | 104.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Lakers | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Lakers | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Lakers | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Pacers | 56c | 98.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Lakers | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Pacers | 51c | 90.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Lakers | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Pacers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Pacers | 55c | 88.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Pacers | 57c | 85.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…e914backed Pacers | 57c | 84.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Lakers | 44c | 82.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Lakers | 41c | 80.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Pacers | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Lakers | 45c | 78.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Lakers | 45c | 78.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Lakers | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Lakers | 68c | 74.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 33.5Yes won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Pacers vs. LakersLakers won
- Pacers vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Pacers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-8.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.