TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Lakers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$217,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,292 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed Pacers56c66,231$37,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,075.3330845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Pacers59c47,619$27,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,964.8836359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Lakers44c18,772$8,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,512.3237747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Pacers54c13,421$7,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,247.1831644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers45c11,781$5,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,485.538,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lakers43c10,957$4,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,299.359,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Pacers56c10,888$6,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,097.1843148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Lakers51c10,821$5,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,294.241,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c21…9b8abacked Lakers44c10,377$4,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,811.392740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Lakers41c8,578$3,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,061.1437842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers41c8,009$3,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,717.716,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers48c7,392$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,539.594,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Lakers44c6,818$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,818.4170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers43c5,162$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,951.464,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Pacers59c5,046$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.268361.4%51 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Lakers44c3,990$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,234.4525049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers42c3,337$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.424,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Pacers57c3,249$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.0618452.7%97 W · 87 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2a…9aa8backed Lakers49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5301533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Lakers44c2,700$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5121,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Lakers50c2,200$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10036045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers42c2,194$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.272,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Pacers54c2,170$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17218448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lakers42c2,049$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.25,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Lakers44c2,013$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.2812745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lakers44c1,891$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.422,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa041…f9d5backed Pacers51c1,621$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.712147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec2c…19f8backed Pacers51c1,379$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.291662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Lakers65c1,326$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.161,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pacers30c1,191$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.23,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Lakers44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.3638946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Pacers54c1,080$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.211940.3%48 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb275…c76fbacked Lakers44c1,073$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.6515551.6%80 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Lakers69c1,016$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.443269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d46…3215backed Lakers53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Pacers35c966.98$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.4413154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Pacers53c963.33$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.5641553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Lakers42c923.33$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.643,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Lakers41c902.34$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.6221243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Lakers43c755.81$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.8129347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Pacers50c720$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.669842.9%42 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Lakers44c527.98$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.4345151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Lakers54c498.9$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.947651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers75c480$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.12,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Pacers25c470$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.510235.3%36 W · 66 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Lakers41c469.95$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.2717960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Lakers70c425.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.5746258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Pacers57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2283756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Lakers42c334.46$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.555,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Lakers45c313.56$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.4645646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Pacers56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16820846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pacers54c293.26$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.362,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Lakers41c273.93$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.6212552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Pacers50c245$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.545850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Lakers45c231.49$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.343,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Lakers44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2726345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Lakers44c222.22$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.5476552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Pacers59c212.1$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0583158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Pacers57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.961957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Lakers41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1181,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Lakers46c191.67$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.041,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed Lakers59c178.6$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.657853.8%42 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Lakers56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.574161%25 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9a7…b64dbacked Pacers57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013953.2%74 W · 65 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Lakers42c175$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.662,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Lakers58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4129247.9%140 W · 152 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Pacers57c172.11$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Lakers50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8081845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Lakers45c157$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Lakers41c155.65$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.831,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Lakers44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8484150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Lakers44c147.73$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7312324.4%30 W · 93 L+0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Lakers44c136.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3695452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Pacers54c132$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2862541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers65c130.74$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.953,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9700…df3cbacked Lakers43c127.47$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.665151%26 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Lakers54c125.76$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7945452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Lakers44c118.97$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.627159.2%42 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Pacers44c113.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016725.7%43 W · 124 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers43c109.78$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.574,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Lakers46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.725753.7%138 W · 119 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Pacers54c104.09$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2139943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Lakers41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Lakers55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4513843.5%60 W · 78 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Lakers47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539255.4%51 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Pacers56c98.82$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3416547.3%78 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Lakers44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.918256.1%46 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Pacers51c90.62$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.630845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…a219backed Lakers50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459944.4%44 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Pacers56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5061056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Pacers55c88.77$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9717046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Pacers57c85.14$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5320762.3%129 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5501…e914backed Pacers57c84.75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3811947.1%56 W · 63 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Lakers44c82.31$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9130151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Lakers41c80.66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5955751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Pacers56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.837549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Lakers45c78.57$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2934047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Lakers45c78.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1757250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Lakers45c77.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7837755.7%210 W · 167 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Lakers68c74.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.925158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.