TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,790

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,790 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Over48c9,625$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0054535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c5,539$2,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,887.42,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c5,509$2,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,876.349,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over49c4,289$2,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,187.3948352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under52c3,741$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.822,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb4…47c2backed Over56c3,571$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.43812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.37per pick50cpaid-77.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under52c3,273$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.094,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Over47c3,169$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.318648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Under54c3,168$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.639352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Over49c2,891$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.4111653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c2,238$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.443,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02013543.7%59 W · 76 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under58c1,723$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.361,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c1,600$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.696,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under51c1,569$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.192,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c1,502$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.14,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under53c1,277$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67740451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under51c1,214$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.251,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under57c1,048$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.362,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c968.59$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.632,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Under54c798.58$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.526048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over50c787$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.52,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over46c741.05$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.5821243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over50c549.71$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.8650241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25595651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over50c399.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6219045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Under58c345.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027462%170 W · 104 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over46c325.43$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.873,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under55c309.09$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17032952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over44c298.5$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.23,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c290.33$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.073,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under61c256.27$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15690957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Under54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Under57c216.54$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.051735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under50c209.26$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.635,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe170…8679backed Under50c197.37$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.624052.5%21 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e7…a322backed Under51c187.44$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.966157.4%35 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under55c178.18$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9862546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2254…e6e5backed Under60c167.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004734%16 W · 31 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-33.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under51c146$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4641052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Over50c135$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6539055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over45c133.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.671,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c118.32$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.852,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Under53c114.34$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.638464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2720…7a59backed Under63c101.84$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.64812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick43cpaid-70.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4b6…41a7backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507247.2%34 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under51c99.85$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5155533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99fa…97a9backed Under51c98.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.413756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509844.9%44 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Under53c94.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028063.6%178 W · 102 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eff…d5a3backed Under54c90.74$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492548%12 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf11b…3fe3backed Under61c90$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.16056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c9d…1299backed Over50c89.6$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.85648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under54c86.89$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5145452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over50c84.41$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4421748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c74.64$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.714,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c70.83$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.094,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over48c70.38$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7391846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Under54c70$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.811327.4%31 W · 82 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.737549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7a…3accbacked Under51c68.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3518825%47 W · 141 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb756…5846backed Under52c67.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355066%33 W · 17 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5795452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Under62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408754%47 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed Under47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick53cpaid-81.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Over48c58.52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4317960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Under54c55.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9929351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over50c54.96$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.231,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Under55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015446.8%72 W · 82 L-12.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Under32c53.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9210623.6%25 W · 81 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0252951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Under53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.610349.5%51 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.545251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed Under53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.511149.5%55 W · 56 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5f2…3ca1backed Under48c49.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.863852.6%20 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked Under51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514357.3%82 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x448a…3faabacked Under52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Under48c48.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.210951.4%56 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Under53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512151.2%62 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Under54c46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8453839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.557731.2%24 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Over50c40.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.028328.9%24 W · 59 L-14.6wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xe102…67babacked Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203669.4%25 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2c0…d4dcbacked Under52c37.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.631040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over45c37.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.481,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over47c36.14$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2190357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Under51c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8510448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3729…d2e5backed Under53c33.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.89742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over37c32.55$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5545445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over47c32.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1315662.8%98 W · 58 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.346447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.496956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over49c29.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.032,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb2d…cd74backed Under51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512364.2%79 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f0d…f4d9backed Under51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152250%11 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over46c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.53,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.