TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f0d…f4d9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Movies, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$8.35
Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.59
Clippers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Pacers vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.83
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.18
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$5.39
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.74
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.74
Thunder vs. Bullsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.48
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.09
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$13
All 22 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Penguinsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$7.76
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Blue Jackets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$14.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fancy United vs Motiv Esports (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffsbacked Motiv Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.