Movies · resolved market
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89ceede990efb731f9f0119b2ba918566bf3cebdda553818298fd074a9ead637
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,810 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6837…15e1backed No | 25c | 11,017$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,236.6 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +14.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…ec13backed No | 58c | 10,697$6,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,523.97 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf49d…7e5bbacked Yes | 80c | 5,686$4,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,526.46 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.9wins | -0.33per pick | 57cpaid | -60%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Yes | 59c | 3,934$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.02 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -84%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed No | 42c | 2,813$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.76 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 10c | 2,152$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.2 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…b77ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,940$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…bd96backed Yes | 2c | 1,900$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4dd…eaa2backed Yes | 4c | 1,752$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…aafdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,588$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ab…300abacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 18c | 1,356$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.12 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…1910backed Yes | 78c | 1,275$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 27c | 993.84$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.88 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…3bcfbacked Yes | 48c | 965.12$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 43c | 946.43$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.42 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…95eabacked Yes | 51c | 907.97$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 7c | 842.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9288…8303backed Yes | 54c | 806.24$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…ec41backed Yes | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…c56ebacked Yes | 2c | 740.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…a2aabacked Yes | 76c | 721.93$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 78c | 718.93$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.04 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…f372backed Yes | 4c | 709.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 46c | 677.39$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.88 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…c57fbacked No | 23c | 662$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 657.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 23c | 635.93$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.13 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cd…dcabbacked Yes | 71c | 566.64$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 12c | 549.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 211 | 9.5%20 W · 191 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 4c | 510$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b0…aa98backed Yes | 42c | 457.72$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 451.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…9bf5backed Yes | 70c | 401$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…76a1backed Yes | 71c | 400.07$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.8 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18fd…3f81backed Yes | 60c | 378.4$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 5c | 375$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 42c | 359.48$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed Yes | 70c | 349.87$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.61 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.12 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 27c | 336.84$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.93 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd082…86f0backed Yes | 62c | 327.47$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 5c | 288$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3490…381bbacked Yes | 62c | 273.13$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +157.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed No | 64c | 257.25$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 65c | 255.27$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.49 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 20c | 231.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b6…a5e9backed Yes | 73c | 225.73$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…143bbacked No | 25c | 210$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacd0…e0f5backed Yes | 29c | 195.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…3f28backed Yes | 72c | 193.9$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 71c | 192.31$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 63c | 186.77$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba7…0d63backed Yes | 61c | 179.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 38c | 172.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.3 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 41c | 168$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2b…b2aebacked Yes | 13c | 156.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bb…95e0backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752f…9fbebacked Yes | 10c | 152.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd89b…15dcbacked Yes | 48c | 140.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3671…5088backed Yes | 72c | 138.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 19c | 133.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.56 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…9546backed Yes | 75c | 132.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…1ad9backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27e…a9d0backed Yes | 50c | 126$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fa…acecbacked Yes | 56c | 125.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bca…6f2bbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 55c | 123.34$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce5…d3fcbacked Yes | 42c | 116.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c38…919dbacked No | 28c | 109$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 63c | 107.45$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…6c6dbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…1588backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +150%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5e…332ebacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…38acbacked No | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked No | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked No | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…f566backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Yes | 61c | 98.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 66cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 56c | 97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 29c | 95.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.9wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 13c | 93.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…fdecbacked No | 57c | 90.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a04…e58dbacked No | 17c | 87.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +486.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 46c | 71.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x723e…083ebacked No | 25c | 70$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f08…73a8backed Yes | 76c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…2db8backed No | 28c | 66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0d…f4d9backed Yes | 60c | 64.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 36c | 61.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x87e7…1f5ebacked Yes | 76c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…45e3backed No | 23c | 59.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 70c | 55.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 198 | 36.4%72 W · 126 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13aa…88d6backed Yes | 37c | 53.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 76c | 52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5b…0037backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58a…2a4fbacked No | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?this page
- Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?No won
- Will "Love is Blind: The Reunion" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes won
- Will "The Dinosaurs" be the top US Netflix show this week?No won
- Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top US Netflix show this week?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.