TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc0fd…95ea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Earnings, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 52 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2025, EDT6238.7%24 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$170.53
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Hawks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$66.77
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+85.5%+$42.74
Nets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$38.57
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
Wizards vs. Raptorsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+63.9%+$15.98
Wizards vs. Raptorsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+185.7%+$37.14
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+300%+$75
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+61.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NUEVAYOL be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+38.9%+$56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$66
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phillies vs. Astrosbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.