NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5095ca2b655e58da6129cd67c26e9f06e9c0e67bab04a28252c9896ddfd688f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $536,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $572,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $536,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3eb4…5821backed Grizzlies | 80c | 138,000$110,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,600 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…e7ddbacked Mavericks | 20c | 138,000$27,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Grizzlies | 75c | 31,000$23,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,899.99 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Mavericks | 1c | 28,990$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.28 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Mavericks | 32c | 23,442$7,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,587.26 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Grizzlies | 65c | 17,930$11,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,338.39 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Mavericks | 21c | 14,723$3,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.65 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ed…ce43backed Grizzlies | 79c | 12,000$9,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Mavericks | 44c | 11,790$5,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,207.1 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…377fbacked Mavericks | 21c | 9,528$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 17c | 8,985$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8d…d880backed Mavericks | 45c | 8,909$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Grizzlies | 65c | 8,899$5,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.35 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Grizzlies | 74c | 5,378$3,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.84 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Grizzlies | 80c | 4,500$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.4 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Mavericks | 17c | 3,750$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.23 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Grizzlies | 77c | 3,512$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.45 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Mavericks | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Grizzlies | 67c | 2,988$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.85 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mavericks | 18c | 2,831$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.45 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Mavericks | 24c | 2,800$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Grizzlies | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.73 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Mavericks | 18c | 2,478$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.07 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…7240backed Mavericks | 21c | 2,472$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 74c | 2,352$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.49 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Mavericks | 35c | 2,120$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.92 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x963e…61ccbacked Mavericks | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0d…68edbacked Grizzlies | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Mavericks | 23c | 1,995$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.9 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Grizzlies | 74c | 1,981$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.68 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Mavericks | 15c | 1,863$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.45 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Mavericks | 18c | 1,830$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.46 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Mavericks | 27c | 1,775$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.25 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mavericks | 16c | 1,736$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.99 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Mavericks | 18c | 1,683$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.71 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Mavericks | 31c | 1,600$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Grizzlies | 76c | 1,586$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.35 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Mavericks | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.44 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Grizzlies | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Grizzlies | 60c | 1,199$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.65 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Mavericks | 19c | 1,174$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mavericks | 22c | 1,154$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.2 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Mavericks | 2c | 1,050$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Mavericks | 38c | 1,050$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.46 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Mavericks | 27c | 1,024$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.23 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Mavericks | 18c | 1,012$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.82 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Mavericks | 21c | 1,010$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mavericks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Mavericks | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Mavericks | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe780…d32dbacked Mavericks | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a7…b33abacked Grizzlies | 58c | 1,000$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Mavericks | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Mavericks | 29c | 999.88$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.98 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Mavericks | 19c | 982.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Mavericks | 20c | 981.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Mavericks | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Mavericks | 23c | 938.27$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.42 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Grizzlies | 78c | 872.53$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.83 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…c879backed Mavericks | 20c | 850$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Mavericks | 16c | 842.28$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.24 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Mavericks | 21c | 833.33$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mavericks | 2c | 808$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Grizzlies | 76c | 800$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Grizzlies | 71c | 800$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Mavericks | 18c | 771$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Grizzlies | 69c | 755.18$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.55 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Grizzlies | 72c | 748.64$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.64 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Mavericks | 29c | 703.23$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…2d58backed Mavericks | 22c | 690$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa14…34c5backed Grizzlies | 78c | 690$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…525abacked Mavericks | 21c | 617.17$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.61 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mavericks | 19c | 610.66$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mavericks | 29c | 599.82$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.63 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…c3bbbacked Mavericks | 17c | 590.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef2…8a53backed Mavericks | 33c | 538.28$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Mavericks | 38c | 530.77$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.28 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be7…a41bbacked Mavericks | 19c | 524.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mavericks | 10c | 517.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mavericks | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mavericks | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Grizzlies | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…dbefbacked Mavericks | 18c | 488.89$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Mavericks | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Grizzlies | 55c | 450$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Mavericks | 18c | 445.26$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Mavericks | 18c | 445.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.13 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb686…513fbacked Mavericks | 18c | 444.42$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…c39fbacked Mavericks | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Mavericks | 18c | 399.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Grizzlies | 75c | 398.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Mavericks | 40c | 380$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.54 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd15c…e6e4backed Grizzlies | 79c | 379.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Mavericks | 20c | 375$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…a5b0backed Mavericks | 20c | 371.45$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.29 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…2958backed Mavericks | 17c | 371.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.11 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Grizzlies | 79c | 371.03$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdafc…dbadbacked Mavericks | 19c | 368.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Mavericks | 3c | 366$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mavericks | 28c | 360.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.