TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Lakers, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$604,452
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$638,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $604,452 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 497 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Nets42c95,072$40,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,868.2747656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Lakers42c49,448$20,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,890.1522049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets29c44,063$12,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,360.993,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Lakers1c23,573$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29034524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Lakers70c16,894$11,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,815.571,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Nets49c13,783$6,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,040.6961345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6130…144abacked Lakers62c13,555$8,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,379.65450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Lakers74c13,485$9,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,978.8510926.6%29 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Lakers66c9,939$6,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,560.0246426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x874e…52d7backed Nets34c9,733$3,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,389.754766%31 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7caa…8872backed Nets30c8,976$2,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,283.26425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Lakers63c8,712$5,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,491.9730443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Nets32c7,978$2,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,451.551,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets33c7,081$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,760.231,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf334…0a0fbacked Lakers70c6,154$4,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,307.73425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0564…ce95backed Nets30c5,875$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,112.54721.3%10 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Nets44c5,118$2,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,866.222832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Lakers46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Lakers75c5,000$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,75029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Lakers53c4,468$2,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.0729747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Nets34c4,400$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,909.5620238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Nets32c4,250$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.94731.9%15 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Lakers41c4,087$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.0934532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nets36c4,000$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.535,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Lakers67c3,282$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.9447848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Nets33c3,263$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,201.3217546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Lakers54c3,050$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.4233931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a68…f88abacked Lakers70c2,817$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.0340%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Lakers68c2,650$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.0176249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets29c2,293$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.7996447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x207a…6fecbacked Lakers60c2,186$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.97149.3%35 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ce8…3bd3backed Lakers69c2,162$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003250%16 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Nets18c2,053$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.0623237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4a7…b33abacked Nets15c2,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7002540%10 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Lakers1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Lakers34c2,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.661,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5f5…7f75backed Lakers63c1,917$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Nets29c1,896$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.499836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Lakers68c1,870$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.9947229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Nets43c1,799$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.3588053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Lakers79c1,750$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.519451.5%100 W · 94 L-17.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Lakers71c1,696$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20917943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Nets31c1,626$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.8677745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Lakers72c1,623$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.4728347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b5…8833backed Lakers69c1,583$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.27837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x133b…415ebacked Nets30c1,582$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.34933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Nets32c1,497$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.228219.5%16 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nets31c1,344$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.511,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Nets35c1,270$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.2966744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Nets40c1,253$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75310533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ac…261fbacked Nets32c1,206$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.746129.5%18 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Lakers77c1,200$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9181,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Lakers68c1,200$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.3950453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Nets33c1,189$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.5617044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda18…5f61backed Nets29c1,180$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.793100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+140.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6102…3af3backed Lakers80c1,089$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.642147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18e9…fd77backed Lakers63c1,049$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66511138.7%43 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Lakers69c1,038$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.9920248%97 W · 105 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Lakers68c1,029$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7006848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Lakers62c1,026$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.8123554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Nets37c1,007$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.9414034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Lakers70c1,003$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.11145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Lakers68c1,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68024855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Lakers65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked Lakers47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47015638.5%60 W · 96 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Lakers66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66046342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Lakers47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47031935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Lakers61c999.99$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6101,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c40…5f2cbacked Nets30c999.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.991546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Lakers35c947.69$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.6953134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Nets31c908.37$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.4585542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb175…b65cbacked Lakers70c900$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.751225%3 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-61.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Nets30c886.58$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.1161835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f72…4d8ebacked Lakers11c881.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003616.7%6 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-67.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Lakers59c849.56$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Lakers71c847.59$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60019944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Lakers67c828.32$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.7170640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…8c56backed Nets72c800$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2244632.6%15 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Nets25c799.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.9951037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0560…d77dbacked Nets31c793.03$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.076346%29 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Nets76c789.47$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.477864.1%50 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lakers67c784.96$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.9257760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Nets23c759.98$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.9840726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ac9…70b0backed Nets33c743.88$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2b…525abacked Nets37c727.59$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.054528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72fe…2a60backed Lakers47c713.1$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.6345647.8%218 W · 238 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da9…24fabacked Nets31c698.46$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1412…8155backed Lakers69c698.46$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Lakers13c680$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.368783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Lakers69c659.81$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.331,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Lakers38c657.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25038942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Nets31c648.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.1626124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nets31c645.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.161,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Lakers69c600$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41172341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f32…3e2cbacked Lakers33c600$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19614041.4%58 W · 82 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Lakers68c600$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40810058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Lakers68c586.32$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.734644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Nets30c585$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.518354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Lakers69c575.63$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Nets22c558.63$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.9995848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.