TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea28…3a0b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
744
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT15638.5%60 W · 96 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 156 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$98.6
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+924.3%+$270.71
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.13
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,072.91
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+412.8%+$85.34
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,117.6
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+408.5%+$80.33
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$287.94
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.37
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.26
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.07
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.5
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.44
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.83
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.27
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+133.4%+$329.81
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.72
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 156 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10446.2%48 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.67
Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$27.5
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.39
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$29.33
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$59.87
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.59
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$809Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$291.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$88.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$470.94
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+246.8%+$284.67
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.77
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$34.43
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$39.47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.57
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8343.4%36 W · 47 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$20.71
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.36
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$42.45
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+551.7%+$2,793.63
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+269.4%+$218.85
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.66
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.91
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.37
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.96
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+170.5%+$590.31
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+220%+$137.5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.77
Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+29%+$45
Will France win the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+253.4%+$638.86
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.49
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.1
Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.78
Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Spain be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT6448.4%31 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.79
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$829Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$726.25
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.78
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.37
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.99
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.5
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$105.5
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.99
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$66.4
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.46
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.6
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$71.21
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+219.1%+$206
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$108.43
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$74.4
Will Helen Dalton win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.13
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+294.7%+$95.46
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+553.1%+$56.04
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.56
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.26
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+55%+$80.59
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT3522.9%8 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-48.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$388.35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$270.8
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.24
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.97
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$20.95
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$97.71
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.75
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.53
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.67
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.83
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.33
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.99
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+99.9%+$89.7
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$211.48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.6
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT3132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$39.24
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will Janak Joshi be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.23
Will Dathan Jones be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.54
Will Mark Baisley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Will Hope Scheppelman be the Republican nominee for CO-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.15
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$27.65
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$27.45
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.6
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.24
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$35.76
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$40.91
Will Paul Dans be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.63
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+124.2%+$89.99
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+140.9%+$315.3
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.39
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.72
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.49
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2524%6 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-62.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+53.4%+$19.37
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.37
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$51.29
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$31.67
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$31.72
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$63.51
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$65.97
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$78.38
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+152.4%+$73.27
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$112.01
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.17
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+40.1%+$33.14
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.68
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$95.6
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Elon tweet 900 or more times Feb 21-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+36%+$185.2
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+30.2%+$92.67
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14.37
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 14-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+26.1%+$7.47
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$815Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$815.39
Will Elon Musk tweet 700-749 times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14.1
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet less than 200 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 25 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$37.7
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.26
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,216Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+48%+$584.19
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$158.82
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.74
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.21
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.25
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.06
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.24
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.59
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$46.32
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.36
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$203.38
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$53.9
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$150.45
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.7
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$59.54
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.5%+$133.09
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+74.9%+$85.63
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+525%+$200.45
All 24 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-42.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.08
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$108.04
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+201%+$66.89
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.99
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.93
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.52
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$105.86
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56%+$20.73
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.05
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.8%+$19.59
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+26.6%+$42
Will Comcast acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32.54
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$26.49
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.01
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.53
All 23 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+371.7%+$170.64
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.59
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+143.3%+$31.99
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 12-15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$30.5
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.3
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$36.11
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+346.4%+$77.58
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+56.5%+$108.3
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$25.11
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+53.5%+$69.71
Will Trump create 'gold card' citizenship before April? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.48
Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will Kari Lake be a member of the Trump administration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$67
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.33
All 21 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.2
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$67.27
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.3
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+34%+$110.03
Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.21
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$60.37
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+33%+$32.1
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.86
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+481.4%+$242.46
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.64
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.8
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.17
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$35.5
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+135.6%+$232.63
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.69
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$33.79
Will "The Wild Robot" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+236.9%+$137.54
Will "Flow" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$133.46
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+258.5%+$937.37
Big Game - Winning Conference backed AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$43.72
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+130.9%+$113.4
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$315
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$27.26
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25.85
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+249.4%+$285.53
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Cameron Ward be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.55
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+100.1%+$155
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$761.3
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$263.47
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$127.18
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$55.82
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$70.72
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$40.21
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+126.5%+$55.85
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$147.24
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.07
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$13.24
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.68
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.8
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+66.9%+$40.1
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$56.66
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$212.85
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$328.57
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$35.19
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$892Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+48.6%+$433.2
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+176.3%+$339.34
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.8
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.3
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$75
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.6
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.8
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.67
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.88
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Marco Carnesecchi record the most clean sheets in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.52
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.86
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.73
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.5
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.19
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-60.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$77.01
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.86
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.85
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.79
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.89
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.05
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.79
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 President’s Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$197.45
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 President’s Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.18
All 11 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$47.43
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+174%+$139.45
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$157
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+82.6%+$162.81
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+164.3%+$62.17
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$753Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$752.77
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+82.6%+$43.36
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+27.8%+$47.16
All 9 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.99
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.94
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.93
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$31.15
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.53
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+214.2%+$127.33
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-77.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+259.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+45.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+212.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+194.1%+$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2025 MLS Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+58.7%+$37
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+51.5%+$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diego Pavia win the Heisman Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+31.4%+$23.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.