Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13769b3c9e8daf0052d90385dcebb80bf28a570a8193bd5576ac73aa82909111

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $97,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $61,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,783 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9337…a410backed Yes	5c	10,252$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.52	118	11.9%14 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00bf…3a0ebacked Yes	11c	8,752$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes	5c	7,565$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.08	100	12%12 W · 88 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	7c	7,357$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.75	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	5,673$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.14	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes	7c	4,707$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.35	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	9c	2,836$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.23	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	8c	2,691$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.73	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa453…b665backed Yes	1c	1,874$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.36	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	1,752$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.01	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed Yes	2c	1,653$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.96	260	42.3%110 W · 150 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd33c…a724backed Yes	14c	1,431$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.99	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	8c	1,215$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.02	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65d9…8608backed Yes	3c	1,100$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.6	20	10%2 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	4cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0404…8353backed Yes	7c	1,093$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.52	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes	7c	999.97$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	87	31%27 W · 60 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d2f…4adbbacked Yes	6c	939.62$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.38	50	62%31 W · 19 L	+6.4wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xf4c4…a006backed Yes	7c	806.08$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.43	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	25cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf07…c770backed Yes	8c	640.46$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.24	35	2.9%1 W · 34 L	-4.1wins	-0.12per pick	15cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb79b…2e4ebacked Yes	7c	604.64$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9070…e32cbacked Yes	8c	570.08$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.74	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd9f…6610backed Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+2.5wins	+0.15per pick	41cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a03…b538backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	24%6 W · 19 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	8c	471.64$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.57	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	8c	471$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.19	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d94…3249backed Yes	16c	463.15$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x166a…d7edbacked Yes	6c	451.49$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.04	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes	6c	395.45$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.95	116	11.2%13 W · 103 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…ee7abacked Yes	9c	375.04$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.52	81	24.7%20 W · 61 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	5c	357.11$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.31	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a99…336bbacked Yes	9c	329.31$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.39	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes	10c	322.3$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.64	215	17.2%37 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes	6c	285$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.25	84	11.9%10 W · 74 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	10c	283.62$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.68	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd53…1917backed Yes	8c	249.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+2.6wins	+0.13per pick	30cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf114…6eccbacked Yes	10c	247.39$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.24	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc76…5f55backed Yes	8c	228.57$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-71%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	12c	225$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	118	33.1%39 W · 79 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes	13c	224.9$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.99	1,206	32.7%394 W · 812 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb62c…ff07backed Yes	9c	205.19$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	10c	203$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.3	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9429…9082backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe6…2770backed Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x166b…0036backed Yes	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes	9c	185$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.29	320	44.1%141 W · 179 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a28…6301backed Yes	7c	153.58$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.97	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	10c	135.07$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.64	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca3…9a08backed Yes	11c	135.06$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf66b…b1d1backed Yes	12c	134.46$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.07	103	48.5%50 W · 53 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes	12c	130.51$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.01	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5f…03dcbacked Yes	17c	116.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0bf…2ae8backed Yes	13c	116.28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	12c	102.84$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	11c	89.35$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.16	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1411…2410backed Yes	13c	81.2$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.55	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	33cpaid	-60.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7026…28d2backed Yes	13c	80$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.16	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefdf…dd75backed Yes	13c	75.09$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	70	58.6%41 W · 29 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event