Will a player representing England be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x412b0b69c2ebff68001118b6a72e85994d47fd5a237c75536b3c11f8f70389ca

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $109,714
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $49,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,714 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9337…a410backed Yes	4c	12,335$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.4	118	11.9%14 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	6c	12,075$678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.56	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	7c	11,598$868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$867.57	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	8c	7,618$633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.08	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes	5c	7,539$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.24	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65d9…8608backed Yes	1c	7,461$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.42	20	10%2 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	4cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd497…c62fbacked Yes	7c	3,000$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202	123	30.9%38 W · 85 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-33%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes	8c	1,988$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.3	100	12%12 W · 88 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	11c	1,973$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.88	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes	13c	1,642$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.49	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	2c	1,458$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.44	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	2c	1,256$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.38	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	1c	1,033$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes	16c	999.99$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	87	31%27 W · 60 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2915…6cdbbacked Yes	6c	834$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.04	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+48.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02c8…f9e5backed Yes	12c	812.59$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2362…2ec5backed Yes	8c	748.77$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.47	44	2.3%1 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-96.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…ee7abacked Yes	19c	726.02$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.54	81	24.7%20 W · 61 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes	9c	700.83$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.98	215	17.2%37 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	10c	694.49$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.35	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	8c	641.23$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.46	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	7c	641.08$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	40	2.5%1 W · 39 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-88.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd311…61b4backed Yes	5c	623.17$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.23	48	25%12 W · 36 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+110.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	9c	571.29$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.65	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9458…65a4backed Yes	7c	539$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.57	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde4b…b1b9backed Yes	18c	440.84$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	100	38%38 W · 62 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17dc…aff8backed Yes	24c	411.52$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5a9…0c9abacked Yes	12c	400$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	6c	395.23$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.25	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a2…96e2backed Yes	15c	380.62$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.49	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.21per pick	19cpaid	+102.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x012a…9fa9backed Yes	15c	328.47$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe6…2770backed Yes	15c	250$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	10c	236.21$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.25	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x353f…bdd4backed Yes	9c	227.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked No	80c	208.82$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.47	128	47.7%61 W · 67 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	8c	196.52$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.91	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf826…13b0backed Yes	18c	180.63$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd33c…a724backed Yes	14c	147.97$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.45	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed Yes	14c	141.94$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.73	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4bac…5e79backed Yes	10c	113.13$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.48	118	34.7%41 W · 77 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac5d…7b6ebacked Yes	16c	105.63$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf114…6eccbacked Yes	12c	102.07$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.81	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x300c…6a92backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	108	49.1%53 W · 55 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	118	26.3%31 W · 87 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86d8…e520backed Yes	16c	92.03$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	76	22.4%17 W · 59 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b9…8682backed Yes	16c	91.68$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	99	24.2%24 W · 75 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed Yes	24c	80$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	112	41.1%46 W · 66 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ea9…7bf1backed Yes	14c	80$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b68…3662backed Yes	15c	68.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	11cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf04…6e88backed Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	132	61.4%81 W · 51 L	+12.3wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5edc…bbadbacked No	76c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No	70c	36.67$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	281	48.4%136 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will a player representing England be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event