Will a player representing Brazil be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5ea1b47165a65b05db0687c45c0bd21d326dad75235f5a64d43fe5a4726a635

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $58,734
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $29,231

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,734 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9337…a410backed Yes	2c	10,562$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.8	118	11.9%14 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2362…2ec5backed Yes	2c	4,906$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.19	44	2.3%1 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-96.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a0…2f95backed Yes	2c	3,270$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.3	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	1c	3,250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.61	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes	6c	2,613$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.01	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65d9…8608backed Yes	2c	2,468$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.84	20	10%2 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	4cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	6c	1,434$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.95	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes	3c	1,299$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes	7c	1,100$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.83	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8798…76cebacked Yes	4c	1,008$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.16	80	13.8%11 W · 69 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes	8c	999.98$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	87	31%27 W · 60 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d2f…4adbbacked Yes	9c	999.97$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	50	62%31 W · 19 L	+6.4wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	863.16$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.38	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd311…61b4backed Yes	3c	828.68$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.26	48	25%12 W · 36 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+110.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9219…d304backed Yes	10c	780$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.7	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72f3…8c23backed Yes	14c	708.63$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	8c	499.98$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	345.08$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.11	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes	7c	331.29$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.98	215	17.2%37 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	9c	313.2$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.36	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	4c	309.94$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.47	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	7c	299.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf12…04e2backed Yes	8c	295.45$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	+168.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	5c	283.76$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.23	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x573e…e08abacked Yes	4c	281.7$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe08e…162ebacked Yes	7c	160.75$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	7c	156.76$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.13	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd53…1917backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+2.6wins	+0.13per pick	30cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90cb…4622backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will a player representing Brazil be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event